Who won the 17:05 Bath on 15 July 2026?
Havana Club (GB) won the 17:05 Bath at SP 3.25. Ridden by Finley Marsh. Trained by Adrian Wintle.
17:05 Bath
Stakes Are Always High Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Firm · 7 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stHavana Club (GB)Finley Marsh·Adrian Wintle9/4J·3.25SP
- 2ndBlue Hero (CAN)AI top pick · 49.0Joe Leavy·Adrian Wintle·beaten 0.2 lengths9/4J·3.25SP
- 3rdThai Princess (GB)Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding·beaten 3 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 38.67s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Havana Club (GB))
“settled towards the back of the pack - improved through the middle from 2f out to go second inside the final furlong - pressed the pacesetter and got up on the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.19 score
Thai Princess
6.00Bet365
segment +26.1% · Flat · Firm · Class 6
Each-way49.0/100 rating
Blue Hero
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Thai Princess
Thai Princess is our selection for this Class 6 contest over the 8f, taken ahead of the higher-rated Mbappe on a progressive profile that appeals with the form tightly bunched. Mbappe, a winner three starts back, My Ambition, who has been in the frame in three of his last five, and Havana Club, on an upward curve, all pose the biggest threats. With eight fairly closely matched runners on our figures, confidence in this selection is low, but Thai Princess's profile gets the nod.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Blue Hero
Joe Leavy · Adrian Wintle · 8yo
Top-rated of 8
score 49.0 · +1.1 clear of next best (47.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Adrian Wintle: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight48below averageLast 6: 6-8-4-8-1
- Ratings50% weight34weakOR 51
MarketBest price 6.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 1m
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.18
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.97
High (7–8)
IV 0.82
Today: Thai Princess (draw 2) and Weston Court (draw 1) get the bias; Havana Club (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 7 4yo · G · ch | 884264 | 52 | 47.9 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 5 8yo · G · b | 68481 | 51 | 49.0 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 6 | Thai Princessv1.1 J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 3yo · F · bt | 4645 | 58 | 46.6 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Luke Morris · T: R Harris · draw 1 5yo · G · bv | 798652 | 45 | 39.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Charles Bishop · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 8 8yo · G · b | 42486 | 49 | 31.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 4 5yo · G · bp | 83167 | 60 | 40.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Jack Doughty · T: A G Newcombe · draw 3 4yo · F · gr | 006 | 45 | 33.5 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| — | — | J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 6 7yo · G · ch | 02394 | 55 | 33.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:05 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Blue Hero) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 17:05 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Havana Club (GB) (3.25), 2. Blue Hero (CAN) (3.25), 3. Thai Princess (GB) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 17:05 Bath?
The winning time was 1m 38.67s.
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