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Next · 41m14:30Gowran Park

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)

1m½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Kev (GB)
    Hector Crouch·William Muir & Chris Grassick
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mythical Isle (IRE)
    Paddy Bradley·Patrick Morris·beaten 0.3 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cy Twombly (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·John Mackie·beaten .5 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 48.90s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Kev (GB))

“Cut out the running from the front - shaken up 2f out and urged 1f out - held on resolutely when tackled in the final 110yds to win”

AI top-rated Offiah's Boy (score 52.4) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.25 score
Equion
4.00Betfair Exchange

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way52.4/100 rating
Offiah's Boy
6.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Equion

Equion heads this nine-runner Wolverhampton mile on the all-weather holding a clear enough edge over his nearest rivals, sitting five pounds above Belltony and seven clear of Cy Twombly in a field where the remainder trail further behind. Belltony and Cy Twombly are the most credible threats, with Kev also worth a mention for those seeking an each-way alternative, but none of them look equipped to bridge the gap if Equion runs to his best. This looks a straightforward opportunity for him to confirm his superiority, and Equion is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Offiah's Boy

Billy Loughnane · Joe Tickle · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 52.4 · +10.2 clear of next best (42.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Joe Tickle: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 6-2-1-3-5-0
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 6.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.12
High (7–9)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
4yo · G · b
980512
5137.6
11/8F·2.38
SP
25
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7
4yo · G · ch
491756
5042.2
8/1·9.00
SP
33
J: Clifford Lee · T: John Mackie · draw 9
4yo · G · bv
940988
5326.9
10/1·11.00
SP
42
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Joe Tickle · draw 5
5yo · G · b
621350
5352.4
4/1·5.00
SP
51
Equionv1.1
J: Luke Morris · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8
8yo · G · b
654981
5339.6
4/1·5.00
SP
68
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Mark Rimell · draw 6
4yo · G · b
007395
4630.1
25/1·26.00
SP
76
J: Sean Levey · T: James Evans · draw 4
4yo · F · chFirst after wind op
09P79
4924.2
12/1·13.00
SP
89
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Richard Price · draw 3
4yo · G · b
746559
4526.5
66/1·67.00
SP
——
J: Robert Havlin · T: Alastair Ralph · draw 2
4yo · F · b
020784
4727.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 September 2026?

Kev (GB) won the 20:00 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by William Muir & Chris Grassick.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Offiah's Boy) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Kev (GB) (2.38), 2. Mythical Isle (IRE) (9.00), 3. Cy Twombly (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 48.90s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org