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RacingAlpha

16:07 Kilbeggan

Ireland

WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle

2m · Hurdle · Good To Yielding · 13 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

Result settled
  1. 1st
    Minella Cyclone (IRE)
    J J Slevin·John Patrick Ryan
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Astelia (IRE)
    Sam Ewing·Peter Fahey·beaten 4.5 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Glengarriff (IRE)
    Kieren Buckley·Patrick Downey·beaten 18 lengths
    300/1·301.00
    SP
Race time
3m 50.30s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Minella Cyclone (IRE))

Sat just behind the pacesetter early - fourth two out then driven into contention to hit the front approaching the final fence - urged out and kept finding more inside the closing furlong - won going away

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.84 score
Ivatt
5.00SmarketsSBK

segment +7.7% · Hurdle · Good To Yielding ·

Each-way26.0/100 rating
Ivatt
5.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Dawn Coming

Philip Byrnes · C Byrnes · 4yo

Top-rated of 17
score 65.9 · +12.5 clear of next best (53.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    39d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    77strong
    OR 116 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 2-2-3-3-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    35small sample (n=7)
    C Byrnes: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 2.50 (Unibet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: J J Slevin · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0
5yo · G · br
U7
8.5
8/1·9.00
SP
29
J: Sam Ewing · T: Peter Fahey · draw 0
7yo · M · ch
0222P
10251.9
5/2·3.50
SP
31
J: Kieren Buckley · T: Patrick Downey · draw 0
5yo · G · b
000
18.5
300/1·301.00
SP
412
J: Daniel King · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
5yo · M · b
5562F
21.7
4/1·5.00
SP
514
J: Alix Balfe(7) · T: Patrick Rooney · draw 0
4yo · F · bt
77
10.0
100/1·101.00
SP
610
J: Donagh Meyler · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 0
5yo · M · ch
33P3
17.4
50/1·51.00
SP
717
J: Mr E M Nugent(7) · T: Barry T Murphy · draw 0
8yo · M · btFT T
7F087
8030.9
125/1·126.00
SP
811
5yo · M · br
74
13.5
40/1·41.00
SP
913
J: Brian Barry(7) · T: Miss Katy Brown · draw 0
6yo · M · bh
067
22.8
150/1·151.00
SP
UR2
J: Niall Moore(5) · T: Philip Fenton · draw 0
5yo · G · b
068
12.3
125/1·126.00
SP
PU4
J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: Simon Cavanagh · draw 0
7yo · G · baybrowntpFT TP
2
18.1
20/1·21.00
SP
F7
J: Philip Byrnes · T: C Byrnes · draw 0
4yo · G · bt
22334
11665.9
1/1F·2.00
SP
PU16
5yo · M · b
7
18.0
125/1·126.00
SP
5yo · G · b
P1608
16.1
6yo · G · chp
58437
10453.3
J: · T: E Bolger · draw 0
4yo · F · b
U08
9.5
Ivattv1.1
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
4yo · G · ch
3
26.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:07 Kilbeggan on 4 September 2026?

Minella Cyclone (IRE) won the 16:07 Kilbeggan at SP 9.00. Ridden by J J Slevin. Trained by John Patrick Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:07 Kilbeggan?

No — the AI top pick (Dawn Coming) finished F.

What were the placings in the 16:07 Kilbeggan?

Top finishers: 1. Minella Cyclone (IRE) (9.00), 2. Astelia (IRE) (3.50), 3. Glengarriff (IRE) (301.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:07 Kilbeggan?

The winning time was 3m 50.30s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org