14:45 Newcastle (AW)

Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Yordan (IRE)
Harry Vigors·Kevin Ryan
2/13F·1.15
SP
2nd
Brash (IRE)AI top pick · 41.5
Joanna Mason·David & Nicola Barron·beaten 6.5 lengths
6/1·7.00
SP
3rd
Triple P (GB)
Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths
40/1·41.00
SP

Race time

1m 11.50s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Yordan (IRE))

“Sat close up early - eased to the front with easy progress over 2f out then pushed on to open a gap inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Brash

Joanna Mason · David & Nicola Barron · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 41.5 · +6.8 clear of next best (34.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
59average
Last 6: 7-7-3-2-4-2
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 64
Trainer20% weight
0weak
David & Nicola Barron: 0/10 winners last 14d (0%)

MarketBest price 34.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.02

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.88

High (9–11)

IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Yordan J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 3yo · G · b	21	9-11	—	—	—	32.5	2/13F·1.15 SP
2	4	Brash J: Joanna Mason · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 4 3yo · G · ch	773242	9-04	64	—	—	41.5	6/1·7.00 SP
3	6	Triple P J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 3yo · G · ch	4	9-04	—	—	—	22.5	40/1·41.00 SP
4	5	Ennoble J: Harry Russell · T: Antony Brittain · draw 2 3yo · C · ch	736U5	9-04	71	—	—	34.8	14/1·15.00 SP
5	8	Joud J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 8 3yo · F · b	34	8-13	—	—	—	22.5	50/1·51.00 SP
6	2	Rake Lane J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 9 4yo · G · gr	755	9-06	—	—	—	14.0	12/1·13.00 SP
7	3	Alpha Platoon J: Cam Hardie · T: Philip Kirby · draw 6 3yo · G · b	74	9-04	—	—	—	23.5	40/1·41.00 SP
8	11	Navertity J: Jason Hart · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 10 3yo · F · b	47	8-13	—	—	—	12.0	80/1·81.00 SP
9	7	Mystic Wave J: Aiden Brookes · T: David Thompson · draw 7 4yo · F · b	78	9-01	—	—	—	15.8	300/1·301.00 SP
10	10	Miss Tino J: Barry McHugh · T: David Thompson · draw 3 3yo · F · b	5	8-13	—	—	—	22.5	200/1·201.00 SP
—	—	Midnight Serenade J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 11 3yo · F · b	58	8-13	—	—	—	24.3	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Newcastle (AW) on 2 September 2026?

Yordan (IRE) won the 14:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.15. Ridden by Harry Vigors. Trained by Kevin Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Brash) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Yordan (IRE) (1.15), 2. Brash (IRE) (7.00), 3. Triple P (GB) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 11.50s.

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