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RacingAlpha

16:30 Hamilton

Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap Stakes

1m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Heavy · 9 runners · £4,187 · Sunday, 20 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Bradbury (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Edward Bethell
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Empirestateofmind (IRE)
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 0.3 lengths
    85/40·3.12
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Draupnir (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 2.75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
2m 1.28s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bradbury (IRE))

“Settled at the back - pushed along 3f out - angled left for room and rallied strongly inside the final furlong - stayed on to the line - got up in a photo”

AI top-rated Epidavros (score 48.2) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.98 score
Draupnir
7.80Matchbook

segment +25.5% · Flat · Heavy · Class 5

Each-way47.6/100 rating
Bradbury
14.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Empirestateofmind

Empirestateofmind holds a clear advantage over this nine-runner Class 5 field at Hamilton, sitting narrowly ahead of the chasing pack on ratings and looking well-suited to the nine-furlong trip on soft ground. Draupnir, Epidavros and Motawaared are the principal threats and cannot be dismissed at similar marks, though none of them can match our selection on the figures available. With conditions expected to test stamina and the form pointing firmly in one direction, Empirestateofmind is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Epidavros

Connor Beasley · Katie Scott · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 48.2 · +0.6 clear of next best (47.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Katie Scott: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64
  • Form20% weight
    34weak
    Last 6: 4-4-3-5-4-8
MarketBest price 19.50 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m1f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–9)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Edward Bethell · draw 8
3yo · G · bt/ce
211636
6147.6
12/1·13.00
SP
24
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 5
8yo · G · bb
995001
6443.1
85/40·3.12
SP
31
4yo · G · b
537052
6943.7
8/1·9.00
SP
42
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1
5yo · G · bp
076321
6746.9
4/1·5.00
SP
55
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9
4yo · G · bp
654222
6046.2
7/4F·2.75
SP
69
J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6
3yo · G · ch
155148
6140.7
25/1·26.00
SP
77
J: Sam James · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3
3yo · G · grb
603400
6336.6
50/1·51.00
SP
86
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 7
3yo · F · btpFT TP
17568
6439.0
50/1·51.00
SP
93
J: Connor Beasley · T: Katie Scott · draw 4
5yo · M · bbFT B
443548
6448.2
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Hamilton on 20 September 2026?

Bradbury (IRE) won the 16:30 Hamilton at SP 13.00. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Hamilton?

No — the AI top pick (Epidavros) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. Bradbury (IRE) (13.00), 2. Empirestateofmind (IRE) (3.12), 3. Draupnir (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Hamilton?

The winning time was 2m 1.28s.

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