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17:25 Limerick

Ireland

Party Time And Limerick Motor Centre Rated Race

6½f · Flat · Good · 11 runners · €8,835 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Dancing Saxon (IRE)
    J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Inishfallen (IRE)AI top pick · 55.5
    Jack Kearney·Stephen Thorne·beaten 0.3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Clonmacash (GB)
    Adam Caffrey·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 1 length
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 22.24s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dancing Saxon (IRE))

handy early in 4th at halfway - 3rd 2f out and soon driven into second - urged and went in front over 1f out - went clear 150 yards out and stayed on strongly - margin narrowed nearing the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way55.5/100 rating
Inishfallen
9.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Apache Outlaw

Apache Outlaw is our selection, sitting on top of our figures in this field of eleven at Limerick over six furlongs on firm ground. He's yet to add to his tally in his recent starts but has stayed competitive throughout, and the form still rates the strongest in this race. Morehampton, only a single pound behind on our figures, is the biggest danger, with Inishfallen and Clonmacash also fitting into this race on rating and unable to be ruled out. It's a moderate level of confidence rather than a standout selection, but Apache Outlaw is the one to beat.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Inishfallen

Jack Kearney(3) · Stephen Thorne · 5yo

Top-rated of 11
score 55.5 · +2.9 clear of next best (52.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Stephen Thorne: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Form20% weight
    20weak
    Last 6: 4-2-4-6-0-0
MarketBest price 9.00 (Bet365) · 6th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Limerick 6½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.63
High (9–11)
IV 1.09

Today: Inishfallen (draw 2) and Morehampton (draw 3) get the bias; Clonmacash (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
3yo · F · b
30461
7449.0
3/1F·4.00
SP
22
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 2
5yo · G · bb
424600
7555.5
12/1·13.00
SP
34
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 7
5yo · G · bv
195354
7446.9
10/1·11.00
SP
45
4yo · G · bht
12062
7444.4
5/1·6.00
SP
56
6yo · G · chp
680643
7143.9
5/1·6.00
SP
61
J: Alan Casey(7) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 11
4yo · G · btb
634720
7752.6
14/1·15.00
SP
73
J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 10
4yo · G · bt
838
7547.3
22/1·23.00
SP
811
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Mark Fahey · draw 6
3yo · G · b
06246
6844.0
8/1·9.00
SP
97
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 3
3yo · G · bp
04050
7949.6
15/2·8.50
SP
108
J: Scott McCullagh · T: Anthony Mullins · draw 8
4yo · C · bt
05773
7039.5
25/1·26.00
SP
1110
5yo · G · bp
97700
6444.9
17/2·9.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:25 Limerick on 11 July 2026?

Dancing Saxon (IRE) won the 17:25 Limerick at SP 4.00. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:25 Limerick?

No — the AI top pick (Inishfallen) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:25 Limerick?

Top finishers: 1. Dancing Saxon (IRE) (4.00), 2. Inishfallen (IRE) (13.00), 3. Clonmacash (GB) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:25 Limerick?

The winning time was 1m 22.24s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org