Who won the 15:15 Haydock on 4 September 2026?
Kodi Lion (IRE) won the 15:15 Haydock at SP 4.50. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Michael Appleby.
15:15 Haydock
Oakmere Homes Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Heavy · 14 runners · £5,757 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stKodi Lion (IRE)Cieren Fallon·Michael Appleby7/2F·4.50SP
- 2ndLord Bertie (FR)Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten 3 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdNever Just A Dream (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·T J Kent·beaten 2.5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 18.40s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Kodi Lion (IRE))
“Tracked the pace on the far rail - angled across approaching 2f out - hit the front with a furlong left - edged ahead inside the last and stayed on strongly”
AI top-rated Territorial Knight (score 53.0) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.11.27 score
Territorial Knight
11.50Betfair Exchange
segment +22.5% · Flat · Heavy · Class 4
Each-way53.0/100 rating
Territorial Knight
8.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Milford
Milford heads this fourteen-runner Haydock sprint on soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Kodi Lion and two pounds clear of the Woven and Territorial Knight pairing, and he tops our ratings for this Class 4 contest over six furlongs. Kodi Lion represents the most obvious threat and will not be far away, while Woven and Territorial Knight give the race a competitive mid-section that could complicate matters if Milford fails to travel with his usual fluency. The soft ground is a mild concern on the day, but the overall profile points in one direction. Milford is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Territorial Knight
Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan · 4yo
Top-rated of 14
score 53.0 · +3.8 clear of next best (49.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — above field median
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 5-5-4-2-5
- Trainer20% weight28weakKevin Ryan: 4/37 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 8.00 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.22
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.71
High (11–14)
IV 1.02
Today: Territorial Knight (draw 4) and Tip Foster (draw 2) get the bias; Wild Clary (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Michael Appleby · draw 14 5yo · G · b | 90599 | 84 | 44.0 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 12 | J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 13 6yo · G · bh | 600690 | 76 | 43.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: T J Kent · draw 11 6yo · G · ch | 40490 | 80 | 39.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 42314 | 87 | 48.9 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 10yo · G · chp | 04729 | 84 | 47.9 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 11 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 4yo · G · cht | 70523 | 76 | 44.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 14 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 58839 | 69 | 48.7 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 4yo · G · bv | 46092 | 87 | 45.6 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 4yo · G · ch | 55425 | 85 | 53.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Joanna Mason · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 31 | 76 | 49.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Oisin Orr · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 311255 | 77 | 43.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 12 | 6 | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 5 3yo · G · gr | 53000 | 84 | 37.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 13 | 10 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 8 7yo · G · g | 300046 | 77 | 43.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 14 | 8 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 12 8yo · G · bp | 55608 | 80 | 36.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Haydock?
No — the AI top pick (Territorial Knight) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 15:15 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Kodi Lion (IRE) (4.50), 2. Lord Bertie (FR) (6.00), 3. Never Just A Dream (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Haydock?
The winning time was 1m 18.40s.
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