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RacingAlpha

Grace & Dotty Maiden Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners · £5,400 · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Storm Force (IRE)
    James Doyle·Richard & Peter Fahey
    2/1J·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Poison Arrow (IRE)
    George Wood·Richard Spencer·beaten 3 lengths
    2/1J·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Space Party (IRE)AI top pick · 40.9
    Nicola Currie·Henry Candy·beaten 1.5 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 15.15s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Storm Force (IRE))

Set the pace from the off - stayed clear of rivals throughout - kicked on with two furlongs left - eased through in the closing stages to score without being pressed

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.13.33 score
Storm Force
5.40Betfair Exchange

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way40.9/100 rating
Space Party
4.50SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Space Party

Nicola Currie · Henry Candy · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 40.9 · +10.9 clear of next best (30.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=7)
    Henry Candy: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 3-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    83d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 4.50 (SmarketsSBK) · 3rd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.09
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.96
High (8–10)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
3yo · G · b
3
23.5
2/1J·3.00
SP
26
J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 6
3yo · G · b
5
19.5
2/1J·3.00
SP
37
J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 3
3yo · G · b
32
40.9
3/1·4.00
SP
44
J: P J McDonald · T: Clive Cox · draw 8
3yo · G · b
30.0
17/2·9.50
SP
55
3yo · G · b
15.0
20/1·21.00
SP
63
J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 1
3yo · C · b
5
28.0
12/1·13.00
SP
79
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 10
3yo · F · btFT T
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
82
J: Faye McManoman · T: Derek Shaw · draw 7
3yo · G · ch
68
12.7
250/1·251.00
SP
91
J: Dougie Costello · T: D J Jeffreys · draw 2
5yo · G · b
26.5
500/1·501.00
SP
1010
J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Henry Candy · draw 5
3yo · F · br
90
26.9
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Southwell (AW) on 16 August 2026?

Storm Force (IRE) won the 16:10 Southwell (AW) at SP 3.00. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Space Party) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:10 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Storm Force (IRE) (3.00), 2. Poison Arrow (IRE) (3.00), 3. Space Party (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 15.15s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org