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RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div II)

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,245 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Walk On Walk On (IRE)
    Ryan Sexton·Philip Kirby
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Barleybrown (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Ruth Carr·beaten .75 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Here Comes Louie (GB)AI top pick · 47.3
    Conor Whiteley·Roger Fell·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 41.35s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Walk On Walk On (IRE))

Pulled hard early - set the pace throughout and asked for effort to lead by three lengths 2f out - edged in late but held on for the win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way47.3/100 rating
Here Comes Louie
8.00Bet Victor

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Walk On Walk On

Walk On Walk On catches the eye as a progressive type whose clock-backed form suggests the bare figures understate the case, making the three-point gap behind the top-rated Barleybrown less significant than it might appear on paper. Barleybrown holds the rating advantage and must be respected, while Here Comes Louie and The Floors Munky both carry realistic claims over this trip on the all-weather. That said, Walk On Walk On's upward trajectory gives cause for optimism that there is more to come, and this looks the right opportunity to find out. The selection is Walk On Walk On.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Here Comes Louie

Conor Whiteley(5) · Roger Fell · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 47.3 · +5.0 clear of next best (42.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55small sample (n=9)
    Roger Fell: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 8-6-2-2-7
  • Ratings50% weight
    35weak
    OR 52
MarketBest price 8.00 (Bet Victor) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Philip Kirby · draw 4
3yo · G · bp
640527
5142.3
10/1·11.00
SP
21
J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 6
6yo · G · bp
766285
5333.9
2/1F·3.00
SP
35
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Roger Fell · draw 2
3yo · G · b
86227
5247.3
9/2·5.50
SP
48
J: Jason Hart · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7
6yo · M · bp
332958
4536.2
12/1·13.00
SP
56
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5
3yo · G · b
06652
5135.1
10/1·11.00
SP
69
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 8
3yo · G · bFirst after wind op
009000
4523.7
100/1·101.00
SP
73
3yo · G · b
570
5532.8
4/1·5.00
SP
82
4yo · G · bp
89518
5142.0
4/1·5.00
SP
94
J: Andrew Elliott · T: Neil Mechie · draw 3
4yo · G · b
0740
4934.1
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:45 Newcastle (AW) on 2 September 2026?

Walk On Walk On (IRE) won the 17:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 11.00. Ridden by Ryan Sexton. Trained by Philip Kirby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Here Comes Louie) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Walk On Walk On (IRE) (11.00), 2. Barleybrown (GB) (3.00), 3. Here Comes Louie (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 41.35s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org