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17:58 Bath

Bath And Wiltshire Air Ambulance Handicap

5½f · Flat · Class 6 · Firm · 5 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Reality Queen (GB)
    Alistair Rawlinson·Michael Appleby
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lavender Bloom (IRE)
    David Egan·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 1.25 lengths
    16/5·4.20
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rogue Rebellion (GB)
    Kieran O'Neill·Ronald Harris·beaten .5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.49s+3.89s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Reality Queen (GB))

“Made all - in front by a narrow margin throughout - pressed from 2f out - held on with determination under pressure”

AI top-rated Rosieisme Darling (score 39.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lavender Bloom

Lavender Bloom has shown inexperience rather than lack of ability in three outings and stepping into handicap company for the first time could unlock more; she heads our figures, though firm ground and the drop in trip are mild concerns. Rosieisme Darling is in better heart having placed off a higher mark last time and shapes as the chief threat, while Reality Queen should strip sharper after a fitness-building run. Rogue Rebellion has competitive form in recent starts but needs to bounce back from a pair of poor outings. Lavender Bloom is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rosieisme Darling

Luke Morris · Hayley Burton · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 39.1 · +0.5 clear of next best (38.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 3-6-4-3-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=5)
    Hayley Burton: 0/5 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 5½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.12
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–5)
IV 0.81

Today: Geemann (draw 2) and Lavender Bloom (draw 1) get the bias; Rosieisme Darling (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Reality Queen
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3
3yo · F · b
45775
5736.8
7/4F·2.75
SP
21
Lavender Bloom
J: David Egan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 1
3yo · F · b
668
6033.0
16/5·4.20
SP
35
Rogue Rebellion
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Ronald Harris · draw 4
3yo · C · b
126299
5033.3
8/1·9.00
SP
44
Rosieisme Darling
J: Luke Morris · T: Hayley Burton · draw 5
3yo · F · b
364324
5539.1
9/4·3.25
SP
52
Geemann
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 2
3yo · G · gr
98600
5738.6
12/1·13.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:58 Bath on 1 July 2026?

Reality Queen (GB) won the 17:58 Bath at SP 2.75. Ridden by Alistair Rawlinson. Trained by Michael Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:58 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Rosieisme Darling) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:58 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Reality Queen (GB) (2.75), 2. Lavender Bloom (IRE) (4.20), 3. Rogue Rebellion (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:58 Bath?

The winning time was 1m 11.49s, 3.89s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org