15:00 Lingfield (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Last Dandelion

No. 3 · score 44.8 · +5.8 clear of next best · best 9/1·9.80

Best value vs consensus

Musical Force

11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 9.86)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Last Dandelion advised 9/1·9.80 (Matchbook), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way44.8/100 rating

Last Dandelion

9.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Last Dandelion

Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams · 2yo

Top-rated of 10

score 44.8 · +5.8 clear of next best (39.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 62
Trainer20% weight
40below average
Stuart Williams: 5/32 winners last 14d (16%)
Form20% weight
31weak
Last 6: 0-5-3-0-4-5

MarketBest price 9.80 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
4Musical Force
Prominent(4)
2It'sbeenemotional 3Last Dandelion 7Past Passion 8Pertinent
Mid-division(1)
6Nightspell
Hold-up / closers(1)
9Polly The Sniper
Unknown(3)
1Enriched 5Mystic Unicorn 10Romotoso

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.03

High (8–10)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Last DandelionPick J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1 · combo 6/41 (15%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	053045	9-02	62	—	—	44.8	9/1·10.48	9.8·9.80 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook9.8·9.80Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60Smarkets9.6·9.60Bet3658/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00Bet MGM8/1·9.00BetTom15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00BetWright7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00
7	Past Passion J: Tyler Heard · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 8 2yo · F · chClass dropOnly runner	72320	9-02	65	—	—	39.0	13/2·7.40	6.8·6.80 Matchbook · -8% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00Bet MGM9/2·5.50BetWright9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00
8	Pertinent J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 10 · combo 5/18 (28%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	099	9-02	28	—	—	38.8	150/1·155.34	300·300.00 Matchbook · +93% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook300·300.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00Bet MGM150/1·151.00Ladbrokes150/1·151.00 Quinn Bet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Bet365150/1·151.00 Coral150/1·151.00 William Hill150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 Midnite125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 BetTom125/1·126.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.0010 Bet125/1·126.00 BresBet125/1·126.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 talkSPORT BET100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Betfair Exchange38·38.00
2	It'sbeenemotional J: Georgia Dobie · T: Laura Mongan · draw 6 · combo 0/7 (0%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	478	9-02	60	—	—	32.0	50/1·48.70	50/1·51.00 Midnite · +5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Midnite50/1·51.00Smarkets44·44.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.0010 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00Matchbook38·38.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Bet MGM33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Bet36533/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 talkSPORT BET28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00
1	Enriched J: Cieren Fallon · T: Tom Clover · draw 3 · combo 4/7 (57%) 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.0	15/2·8.63	8.8·8.80 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook8.8·8.80Smarkets8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Bet MGM13/2·7.50Spreadex13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Betfred11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00
4	Musical Force J: David Probert · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5 2yo · F · bOnly runner	93	9-02	—	—	—	22.9	9/1·9.86	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +17% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Bet MGM15/2·8.50Bet36515/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00
10	Romotoso J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 2 · combo 3/19 (16%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	3	9-02	—	—	—	22.0	5/4·2.26	1.93·1.93 Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1.93·1.93Smarkets1.92·1.92Matchbook1.92·1.92Ladbrokes10/11·1.91 Coral10/11·1.91 LiveScore Bet10/11·1.91 Quinn Bet10/11·1.91 Paddy Power10/11·1.91 Bet36510/11·1.91Virgin Bet10/11·1.917Bet5/6·1.83 10 Bet5/6·1.83 SmarketsSBK5/6·1.83 Dragon Bet5/6·1.83 Boyle Sports5/6·1.83 BresBet5/6·1.83 SportingIndex5/6·1.83Betfair Sportsbook5/6·1.83Bet MGM5/6·1.83BetTom5/6·1.83 BetWright5/6·1.83 Betfred5/6·1.83 Spreadex5/6·1.83 Star Sports5/6·1.83 Unibet5/6·1.83 William Hill5/6·1.83 Bet Victor4/5·1.80 Betano4/5·1.80 talkSPORT BET4/5·1.80 Midnite8/11·1.73
9	Polly The Sniper J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 9 · combo 3/30 (10%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	5	9-02	—	—	—	20.5	25/1·25.89	27·27.00 Matchbook · +4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Bet MGM20/1·21.00Coral20/1·21.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00BetWright18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00
6	Nightspell J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 7 · combo 4/14 (29%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	4	9-02	—	—	—	17.5	33/1·32.05	32·32.00 Matchbook All 30 books ▾ Matchbook32·32.00Unibet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00Bet MGM25/1·26.00Smarkets25·25.00Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00BetWright22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00
5	Mystic Unicorn J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Keady · draw 4 · combo 0/6 (0%) 2yo · F · chOnly pairing	9	9-02	—	—	—	11.2	80/1·82.60	120·120.00 Matchbook · +45% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook120·120.00Betfair Sportsbook70/1·71.00Paddy Power70/1·71.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Spreadex66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00Bet MGM66/1·67.00Bet36566/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 BresBet60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 BetWright60/1·61.00Smarkets60·60.00Betfair Exchange60·60.00 SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 talkSPORT BET50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 15:00 on 18 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Last Dandelion (score 44.8, best price 9.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Romotoso at a best price of 1.93. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Last Dandelion.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org