18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

19:40 Southwell (AW)

Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Indefensible (IRE)
    Harry Russell·Ollie Pears
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Korbut (GB)AI top pick · 64.2
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 0.05 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lieutenant Kije (GB)
    Harry Vigors·Tom Ward·beaten 0.2 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 27.21s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Indefensible (IRE))

“Held up early - driven into contention over 2f out and up to third inside final furlong - rallied late to hit the front right on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.11.10 score
Indefensible
7.80Betfair Exchange

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Each-way64.2/100 rating
Korbut
4.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Exotic Baby

Exotic Baby holds a narrow edge over the danger runners on these ratings, sitting a few pounds clear of Tactical Blitz and Chale Chalo, though neither is far behind and this looks a genuinely competitive Class 5 heat over seven furlongs on the Southwell Fibresand. Tactical Blitz and Chale Chalo are the most obvious threats and should not be underestimated, while Piscean Star also enters calculations as a runner who could outperform expectations on the day. With confidence modest given the closeness of the form, Exotic Baby is nonetheless the pick of the field and is taken to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Korbut

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 64.2 · +10.6 clear of next best (53.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    82very strong
    Last 6: 5-2-2-2-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
MarketBest price 4.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–9)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Indefensiblev1.1
J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 5
3yo · G · b
253313
7153.7
17/2·9.50
SP
23
Korbut
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 8
3yo · F · b
522221
7364.2
7/4F·2.75
SP
37
Lieutenant Kije
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Tom Ward · draw 1
3yo · G · b
83265
6947.4
3/1·4.00
SP
48
Black Endeavour
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Mark Rimell · draw 9
3yo · G · bt
653167
6840.8
14/1·15.00
SP
52
Piscean Star
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 6
3yo · G · b
10246
7449.9
4/1·5.00
SP
61
Chale Chalo
J: Jason Hart · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 2
3yo · G · bp
12908
7537.8
7/1·8.00
SP
75
Tactical Blitz
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Liam Bailey · draw 4
3yo · G · grp
421388
7037.9
50/1·51.00
SP
89
Southern Warrior
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Olly Williams · draw 3
3yo · C · b
135080
6133.8
150/1·151.00
SP
96
Exotic Baby
J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Ian Williams · draw 7
3yo · G · b
504570
6941.4
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:40 Southwell (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Indefensible (IRE) won the 19:40 Southwell (AW) at SP 9.50. Ridden by Harry Russell. Trained by Ollie Pears.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:40 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Korbut) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 19:40 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Indefensible (IRE) (9.50), 2. Korbut (GB) (2.75), 3. Lieutenant Kije (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:40 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 27.21s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org