Who won the 20:00 Newcastle (AW) on 1 October 2026?
Cotai Starlight (IRE) won the 20:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Katie Scott.
20:00 Newcastle (AW)
Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stCotai Starlight (IRE)Jason Hart·Katie Scott5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndBlue Force (IRE)Cam Hardie·Antony Brittain·beaten 1.5 lengths15/2·8.50SP
- 3rdSergeant Mayer (IRE)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 0.3 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
58.77s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Cotai Starlight (IRE))
“Front from the start - held slender advantage until pushed along 2f out - finished powerfully from over 1f out to win”
AI top-rated Dc Cogent (score 60.3) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.2/100 rating
Sergeant Mayer
6.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Blue Force
Blue Force is our selection for this tightly packed Newcastle sprint, and his progressive profile is the reason we side with him over Celtic Arrow, who is only a pound better on our figures. At 68 he sits level with Sergeant Mayer and Golden Havana, so there is little to separate the leading group, but an improving horse is the one to favour when the ratings are this close. Celtic Arrow is the main danger as the narrowly top-rated runner, with Sergeant Mayer and Golden Havana also fully capable of turning this into a scrap, and confidence is low in such an open contest. Blue Force gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dc Cogent
Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart · 4yo
Top-rated of 10
score 60.3 · +5.2 clear of next best (55.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=6)Bryan Smart: 3/6 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight50below averageLast 6: 6-8-3-7-3-2
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 61
MarketBest price 3.05 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.02
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.88
High (8–10)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 814523 | 59 | 41.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 9 5yo · G · bh | 369144 | 65 | 44.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 696111 | 63 | 55.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 2 3yo · F · bt | 522185 | 55 | 36.8 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 8 6yo · G · b | 50110 | 64 | 39.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 6 3yo · G · bv | 322250 | 63 | 41.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 5433 | 62 | 54.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 3yo · F · chpFT P | 422505 | 63 | 40.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 683732 | 61 | 60.3 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| — | — | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 3yo · F · ch | 151416 | 56 | 46.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Dc Cogent) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Cotai Starlight (IRE) (6.00), 2. Blue Force (IRE) (8.50), 3. Sergeant Mayer (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 58.77s.
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