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RacingAlpha

Bettingsites.co.uk Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Elyam (GB)
    Jason Hart·Michael Herrington
    11/8·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Black Orchid (GB)AI top pick · 53.4
    Billy Loughnane·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 5 lengths
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Atomik (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·Joey Ramsden·beaten 4.5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
56.49s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Elyam (GB))

Up with the pace from the off - moved to the front after a furlong - strode on with authority - driven out over 1f out and quickly put the race to bed

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.45 score
Elyam
4.90Betfair Exchange

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way37.0/100 rating
Gris De Chine
13.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Black Orchid

Billy Loughnane · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 53.4 · +11.4 clear of next best (42.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Richard & Peter Fahey: 6/54 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 21.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.96
High (6–7)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Elyamv1.1
J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Herrington · draw 6
4yo · G · b
353
7542.0
11/8·2.38
SP
26
3yo · F · b
222
6753.4
4/6F·1.67
SP
35
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 4
3yo · F · bt
7
13.0
12/1·13.00
SP
41
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 7
4yo · G · b
9
11.2
150/1·151.00
SP
53
J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 3
3yo · G · b
15.0
33/1·34.00
SP
64
J: Harry Russell · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1
4yo · F · ch
4
21.0
66/1·67.00
SP
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 2
3yo · F · grt
53744
5737.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:05 Southwell (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Elyam (GB) won the 17:05 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Michael Herrington.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:05 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Black Orchid) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:05 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Elyam (GB) (2.38), 2. Black Orchid (GB) (1.67), 3. Atomik (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:05 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 56.49s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org