Who won the 15:45 Lingfield (AW) on 3 September 2026?
Sibling Rivelry (GB) won the 15:45 Lingfield (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Jack Dace. Trained by David Simcock.
15:45 Lingfield (AW)
Castle Air Handicap Stakes
1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 3 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00Race report
- 1stSibling Rivelry (GB)AI top pick · 58.7Jack Dace·David Simcock3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndRomantic Spirit (FR)Saffie Osborne·David Menuisier·beaten 0.3 lengths17/2·9.50SP
- 3rdMister Daydream (IRE)Jason Watson·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten 2.25 lengths11/4J·3.75SP
Race time
2m 34.55s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sibling Rivelry (GB))
“Slow to begin - settled towards back of field - asked for effort with over 2f left - moved through to front approaching final furlong - stayed on to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.1-1.17 score
Twilight Moon
3.45Smarkets
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Wiltshire Wonder
Wiltshire Wonder heads this six-runner Class 5 contest at Lingfield on the all-weather over twelve furlongs narrowly ahead of Big Bear Hug and Twilight Moon on our assessments, and that edge, modest as it is, gives a reasonable basis for selection in what looks a competitive little heat. Big Bear Hug and Twilight Moon are the most obvious dangers and will need to be kept onside, while Mister Daydream, a few pounds below them, cannot be dismissed in a field where the gaps are tight throughout. Confidence is limited given how closely matched the principals appear, but on balance Wiltshire Wonder gets the nod as our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Sibling Rivelry
Jack Dace(5) · David Simcock · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 58.7 · +13.4 clear of next best (45.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight64averageLast 6: 1-7-3-4-2-2
- Trainer20% weight63averageDavid Simcock: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70
MarketBest price 5.30 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.82
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.25
High (5–6)
IV 0.97
Today: Mister Daydream (draw 3) and Twilight Moon (draw 4) get the bias; Sibling Rivelry (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 173422 | 70 | 58.7 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: David Menuisier · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 45777 | 66 | 32.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Jason Watson · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 77126 | 65 | 45.3 | 11/4J·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 1 | Twilight Moonv1.1 J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 4 4yo · F · bp | 16653 | 73 | 44.1 | 11/4J·3.75 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 1 7yo · M · b | 931775 | 71 | 41.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 9505 | 73 | 38.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Lingfield (AW)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Sibling Rivelry, won the race (AI score 58.7).
What were the placings in the 15:45 Lingfield (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Sibling Rivelry (GB) (4.00), 2. Romantic Spirit (FR) (9.50), 3. Mister Daydream (IRE) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Lingfield (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 34.55s.
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