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RacingAlpha

Nuvo Audit Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 2 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 100/30·4.33
  1. 1st
    Quiet Summer (GER)AI top pick · 53.0
    Daniel Muscutt·Andrew Balding
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Elsass (IRE)
    Rob Hornby·Charlie Johnston·beaten .5 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Nolton Cross (IRE)
    David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
2m 37.07s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Quiet Summer (GER))

“Sat fourth - asked for effort over 2f out and quickened smartly - hit front inside final furlong - held off challenger near finish to win cosily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.50 score
Quiet Summer
4.70Smarkets

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Elsass

Elsass looks the right one to side with in this small Wolverhampton field, rating 92 on our figures and a pound better than Nolton Cross, so the edge is narrow but real. Over a Class 4 twelve furlongs on standard going, that slight superiority is enough to make him the call, with the top-rated option among these on our numbers. Nolton Cross is the chief danger, while Model Yuko at 88 and Last Verse at 85 are not out of it if the pace falls their way; Quiet Summer looks outclassed. Elsass is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Quiet Summer

Daniel Muscutt · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 53.0 · +2.5 clear of next best (50.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 4-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Andrew Balding: 7/64 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 4.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.96
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.12
High (5–5)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · C · ch
423
7953.0
100/30·4.33
SP
23
J: Rob Hornby · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1
4yo · G · b
037737
8450.4
7/4F·2.75
SP
31
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3
7yo · G · b
895255
8546.5
7/2·4.50
SP
42
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 5
4yo · F · bhFT H
13876
8449.0
13/2·7.50
SP
54
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Joseph Parr · draw 2
3yo · G · bp
813912
8250.5
11/2·6.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Wolverhampton (AW) on 2 October 2026?

Quiet Summer (GER) won the 16:25 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Quiet Summer, won the race (AI score 53.0).

What were the placings in the 16:25 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Quiet Summer (GER) (4.33), 2. Elsass (IRE) (2.75), 3. Nolton Cross (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 37.07s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org