Who won the 16:20 Haydock on 4 September 2026?
Homestrait (IRE) won the 16:20 Haydock at SP 5.50. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Brian Ellison.
16:20 Haydock
Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Heavy · 10 runners · £4,449 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stHomestrait (IRE)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Brian Ellison9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndOnly Dream Big (GB)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 2.25 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdCypriot Diaspora (GB)Callum Rodriguez·Rod Millman·beaten 1.5 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
Race time
1m 34.11s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Homestrait (IRE))
“Settled around midfield - boxed in approaching 2f out then found space and angled right with 1f left - hit the front entering the final furlong - kept driving out to score”
AI top-rated Dream Illusion (score 53.1) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.8/100 rating
Magic Music
11.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Clementines Star
Clementines Star rates narrowly behind the top-rated Homestrait on paper, but a progressive profile suggests there is more to come and the soft ground at Haydock over seven furlongs looks an ideal opportunity to confirm that upward curve. Homestrait, Folkene, and Cypriot Diaspora all have claims and must be respected, with Homestrait in particular holding a pound advantage that cannot be entirely dismissed. That said, a horse still finding improvement offers a compelling case over rivals who may be closer to their ceiling. The selection is Clementines Star.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dream Illusion
David Probert · Michael Herrington · 4yo
Top-rated of 12
score 53.1 · +2.4 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight58averageMichael Herrington: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
- Form20% weight48below averageLast 6: 2-0-2-4-8-2
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketBest price 19.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 7f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.79
High (9–12)
IV 0.93
Today: Homestrait (draw 4) and Cypriot Diaspora (draw 2) get the bias; Dream Illusion (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 177 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Brian Ellison · draw 4 3yo · F · bp | 223146 | 70 | 46.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 11 3yo · F · bb | 155635 | 62 | 41.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Rod Millman · draw 2 5yo · M · b | 863241 | 58 | 46.9 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1 5yo · M · b | 77267 | 65 | 37.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 79615 | 66 | 41.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 93165 | 66 | 50.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 7 4yo · F · b | 76404 | 69 | 46.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 10 3yo · F · ro | 445555 | 61 | 43.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: David Probert · T: Michael Herrington · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 202482 | 66 | 53.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 33213 | 69 | 46.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Iain Jardine · draw 12 4yo · F · ch | 272839 | 67 | 41.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Hector Crouch · T: David Loughnane · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 2334 | 69 | 42.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Haydock?
No — the AI top pick (Dream Illusion) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 16:20 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Homestrait (IRE) (5.50), 2. Only Dream Big (GB) (17.00), 3. Cypriot Diaspora (GB) (2.88).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Haydock?
The winning time was 1m 34.11s.
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