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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/1·5.00
  1. 1st
    Nour (IRE)AI top pick · 54.3
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lord Ragnar (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Ed Dunlop·beaten 0.2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Trust Yourself (IRE)
    Silvestre De Sousa·James Tate·beaten 2.5 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
Race time
1m 13.58s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nour (IRE))

Set the pace from the outset - asked for effort a furlong out and drifted right entering the last - challenged hard inside the final 110yds - clung on for the win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.11.46 score
Nour
4.00William Hill

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way54.3/100 rating
Nour
5.90Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Furturra

Furturra arrives here a shade below the top-rated Persian Land on our figures but offers a compelling case on a progressive profile that the bare rating may not fully reflect, with the clock supporting the form and a fitness edge giving connections further reason for optimism on this Southwell Fibresand surface over six furlongs. Persian Land is the obvious danger as the highest-rated runner in the field, while Statten Island and Too Many Spirits also merit respect and will ensure this is no formality. The main dangers are unlikely to go away quietly, but the balance of evidence points to a horse improving faster than the ratings suggest. Furturra is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nour

Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 54.3 · +1.4 clear of next best (52.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    33d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    K. R. Burke: 7/41 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 5.90 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.96
High (6–7)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Nourv1.1
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
2yo · F · b
33
7654.3
4/1·5.00
SP
26
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
02124
7452.9
4/1·5.00
SP
37
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: James Tate · draw 5
2yo · C · b
0061
6145.5
7/4F·2.75
SP
44
2yo · G · b
52241
7548.2
11/2·6.50
SP
51
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3
2yo · G · ch
121240
8046.6
9/1·10.00
SP
65
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1
2yo · G · b
444
7544.5
12/1·13.00
SP
72
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: David Evans · draw 4
2yo · G · b
126
7849.5
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) on 27 August 2026?

Nour (IRE) won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Nour, won the race (AI score 54.3).

What were the placings in the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Nour (IRE) (5.00), 2. Lord Ragnar (IRE) (5.00), 3. Trust Yourself (IRE) (2.75).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 13.58s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org