14:10 Lingfield (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £4,320 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Birkacre Brow

No. 1 · score 46.3 · +1.9 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.70

Best value vs consensus

Black Treasure

17·17.00 Matchbook · +14% vs fair (consensus 14.92)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Birkacre Brow advised 4/1·5.20 (Matchbook), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way46.3/100 rating

Birkacre Brow

5.70Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Birkacre Brow

David Probert · James Tate · 2yo

Top-rated of 9

score 46.3 · +1.9 clear of next best (44.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
9d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
47below average
Last 6: 4-0-2
Trainer20% weight
45below average
James Tate: 3/17 winners last 14d (18%)
Ratings50% weight
42below average
OR 63

MarketBest price 5.70 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(3)
1Birkacre Brow 5Inglewood 8Last Dandelion
Mid-division(1)
9Leading Raya
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(5)
2Black Treasure 3Fancied Angel 4Glamorous Wild 6Sacred Rhythm 7Adelaides Turn

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.96

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.03

High (7–9)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Birkacre BrowPick J: David Probert · T: James Tate · draw 5 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	402	9-02	63	—	—	46.3	9/2·5.59	5.7·5.70 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook5.7·5.70Betfair Exchange5.6·5.60 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Smarkets5.5·5.50SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Coral7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 talkSPORT BET10/3·4.33
5	Inglewood J: Charles Bishop · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6 2yo · F · bhFT HClass dropOnly runner	523	9-02	68	—	—	44.4	11/10·2.08	1.74·1.74 Matchbook · -16% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook1.74·1.74Betfair Exchange1.74·1.74 Bet3658/11·1.73 William Hill8/11·1.73Smarkets1.73·1.73BetWright4/6·1.67 Betfred4/6·1.67 Boyle Sports4/6·1.67 BresBet4/6·1.67 Coral4/6·1.67 Dragon Bet4/6·1.67 7Bet4/6·1.67 BetMGM4/6·1.67 BetTom4/6·1.67 Ladbrokes4/6·1.67 LiveScore Bet4/6·1.67 Quinn Bet4/6·1.67 SmarketsSBK4/6·1.67 SportingIndex4/6·1.67 10 Bet4/6·1.67 Spreadex4/6·1.67 Star Sports4/6·1.67 Unibet4/6·1.67Virgin Bet4/6·1.67Betfair Sportsbook4/6·1.67Paddy Power4/6·1.67 Bet Victor8/13·1.62 Betano8/13·1.62 Midnite8/13·1.62 talkSPORT BET8/13·1.62
8	Last Dandelion J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 2 2yo · F · bClass drop	053045	8-13	62	—	—	41.8	15/2·8.70	9·9.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Betfair Exchange9·9.00Smarkets8.6·8.60SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 William Hill6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Star Sports11/2·6.50 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00
7	Adelaides Turn J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Robert Cowell · draw 9 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	—	8-13	—	—	—	25.0	18/1·18.65	28·28.00 Matchbook · +50% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Smarkets26·26.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00
4	Glamorous Wild J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1 · combo 0/6 (0%) 2yo · F · gr	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.5	33/1·36.05	50·50.00 Matchbook · +39% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Star Sports25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00
3	Fancied Angel J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 8 · combo 1/26 (4%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	19.0	40/1·42.27	60·60.00 Matchbook · +42% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00
2	Black Treasure J: Dougie Costello · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7 2yo · F · bhFT HOnly pairing	7	9-02	—	—	—	17.5	14/1·14.92	17·17.00 Matchbook · +14% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook17·17.00Betfair Exchange17·17.00 SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00Smarkets16·16.00Bet36514/1·15.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.0010 Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00
6	Sacred Rhythm J: Jason Watson · T: Joseph Parr · draw 4 2yo · F · chOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	20/1·21.13	27·27.00 Matchbook · +28% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00Smarkets25·25.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00
9	Leading Raya J: Alicia Perkins(7) · T: Mark Usher · draw 3 2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	08	8-13	—	—	—	13.8	200/1·187.73	470·470.00 Matchbook · +150% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook470·470.00Midnite250/1·251.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 BetMGM150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00talkSPORT BET150/1·151.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 BresBet125/1·126.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Betfair Exchange60·60.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 14:10 on 20 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

5f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Birkacre Brow (score 46.3, best price 5.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Inglewood at a best price of 1.74. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Birkacre Brow.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org