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Next · 14m19:00Southwell (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £4,320 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/1·6.00
  1. 1st
    Birkacre Brow (GB)AI top pick · 46.3
    David Probert·James Tate
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Inglewood (GB)
    Charles Bishop·Julie Camacho·beaten 1 length
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Last Dandelion (GB)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Stuart Williams·beaten .75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
58.57s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Birkacre Brow (GB))

“Sharp start - set the pace throughout without a threat - scored with ease”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.57 score
Birkacre Brow
6.40Smarkets

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Why the model rates this top

Birkacre Brow

David Probert · James Tate · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 46.3 · +1.9 clear of next best (44.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 4-0-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    James Tate: 3/17 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.03
High (7–9)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: David Probert · T: James Tate · draw 5
2yo · F · b
402
6346.3
5/1·6.00
SP
25
J: Charles Bishop · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6
2yo · F · bhFT H
523
6844.4
4/6F·1.67
SP
38
2yo · F · b
053045
6241.8
9/2·5.50
SP
46
J: Jason Watson · T: Joseph Parr · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
——15.0
14/1·15.00
SP
53
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 8
2yo · F · b
——19.0
33/1·34.00
SP
64
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1
2yo · F · gr
——21.5
33/1·34.00
SP
77
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Robert Cowell · draw 9
2yo · F · b
——25.0
22/1·23.00
SP
89
J: Alicia Perkins(7) · T: Mark Usher · draw 3
2yo · F · b
08
—13.8
300/1·301.00
SP
—2
J: Dougie Costello · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7
2yo · F · bhFT H
7
—17.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:10 Lingfield (AW) on 20 August 2026?

Birkacre Brow (GB) won the 14:10 Lingfield (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by James Tate.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Birkacre Brow, won the race (AI score 46.3).

What were the placings in the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Birkacre Brow (GB) (6.00), 2. Inglewood (GB) (1.67), 3. Last Dandelion (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:10 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 58.57s.

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