19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners · £3,245 · Friday, 2 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Ice Show (GB)
Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Lanarra (IRE)
James Sullivan·R. Mike Smith·beaten 1.25 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP
3rd
Forever Twenty (GB)
Jason Hart·Ivan Furtado·beaten 2.25 lengths
9/2J·5.50
SP

Race time

1m 26.49s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Ice Show (GB))

“Prominent in the pack early - shaken up and moved right 2f out to make ground - hit the lead over 1f out then kept up to the task to win”

AI top-rated Soul Warrior (score 45.1) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way45.1/100 rating

Soul Warrior

10.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Soul Warrior

Soul Warrior is our selection in this 14-runner Newcastle 7f contest, and his progressive profile is the reason we prefer him to Territorial Star, who is only two pounds better on our figures. At 64 he sits second in our ratings, four pounds above the 60-rated trio behind, and his progressive profile suggests there may be more to come at this level. Territorial Star is the main danger as the top-rated runner, while Elias Escape and Lanarra are both capable of getting involved if the pace falls their way. Soul Warrior looks the one to be with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Soul Warrior

Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 45.1 · +4.4 clear of next best (40.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
9d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
63average
Nigel Tinkler: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
Form20% weight
41below average
Last 6: 3-5-8-8-7-1
Ratings50% weight
35weak
OR 52

MarketBest price 10.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 5th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.94

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.06

High (11–14)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Ice Show J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 8 3yo · F · chh	55603	9-09	54	—	—	36.5	12/1·13.00 SP
2	7	Lanarra J: James Sullivan · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 9 3yo · F · b	343513	9-06	51	—	—	39.5	11/2·6.50 SP
3	11	Forever Twenty J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 12 3yo · F · cht	603946	9-02	47	—	—	31.1	9/2J·5.50 SP
4	10	Dream Forever J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 11 3yo · G · chb	000128	9-02	47	—	—	33.8	15/2·8.50 SP
5	1	Soul Warrior J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 3yo · G · bt	358871	9-13	52	—	—	45.1	9/1·10.00 SP
6	8	Claytons Kolatonic J: Sam James · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 2 3yo · G · bbFT B	796650	9-05	50	—	—	29.7	12/1·13.00 SP
7	4	Territorial Star J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 6 3yo · F · bt	65074	9-09	54	—	—	29.9	9/2J·5.50 SP
8	9	Trucial Pearl J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 14 3yo · F · bv	531445	9-02	47	—	—	34.0	13/2·7.50 SP
9	2	Elias Escape J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 13 3yo · C · b	5883	9-09	54	—	—	39.4	8/1·9.00 SP
10	12	Diamond Aura J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · F · bp	247694	9-00	45	—	—	40.6	25/1·26.00 SP
11	6	Tago Mago J: P. J. McDonald · T: Sam England · draw 1 3yo · F · btpFT TP	87690	9-07	52	—	—	39.0	28/1·29.00 SP
12	13	Lady Grey J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 3yo · F · gr	7840	9-00	44	—	—	36.6	50/1·51.00 SP
—	3	Sonbelievable J: Jack Mitchell · T: Joseph Parr · draw 10 3yo · G · b	798	9-09	54	—	—	26.4	—
—	14	Nefyn Queen J: Oliver Stammers · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 7 3yo · F · bbFT B	0600	9-00	34	—	—	30.6	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:15 Newcastle (AW) on 2 October 2026?

Ice Show (GB) won the 19:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 13.00. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by David O'Meara.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Soul Warrior) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 19:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Ice Show (GB) (13.00), 2. Lanarra (IRE) (6.50), 3. Forever Twenty (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:15 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 26.49s.

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