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Next · 1h 10m14:30Gowran Park

14:38 Ayr

Weddings At Western House Hotel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Heavy · 6 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/4·3.25
  1. 1st
    What A Girl Wants (IRE)AI top pick · 50.1
    Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Naval Architect (IRE)
    M. P. Sheehy·Adrian Keatley·beaten 1.75 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Melody Man (GB)
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 6.5 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 13.99s

Race time recorded.

In-running (What A Girl Wants (IRE))

“handy early - pushed along to hit front over 1f out - pulled clear near finish to win going away”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

What A Girl Wants

Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 50.1 · +26.2 clear of next best (23.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 2-0-4-4-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Nigel Tinkler: 3/21 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 4.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.24
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.98
High (5–6)
IV 0.75

Today: Melody Man (draw 2) and Sneakin Pete (draw 1) get the bias; What A Girl Wants (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6
2yo · F · bh
204432
7550.1
9/4·3.25
SP
22
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
——19.0
6/5F·2.20
SP
31
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 2
2yo · G · b
6
—19.5
3/1·4.00
SP
45
J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 3
2yo · F · br
65
—23.8
10/1·11.00
SP
54
J: Andrew Mullen · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 1
2yo · G · b
7
—17.0
250/1·251.00
SP
63
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 5
2yo · G · b
9
—15.2
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:38 Ayr on 29 September 2026?

What A Girl Wants (IRE) won the 14:38 Ayr at SP 3.25. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Nigel Tinkler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:38 Ayr?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, What A Girl Wants, won the race (AI score 50.1).

What were the placings in the 14:38 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. What A Girl Wants (IRE) (3.25), 2. Naval Architect (IRE) (2.20), 3. Melody Man (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:38 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 13.99s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org