18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 4h 8m14:10Lingfield (AW)

Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 52.5 · +1.7 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.00
Best value vs consensus
17·17.00 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 15.10)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Queen Sana advised 9/2·5.60 (Matchbook), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.
Each-way52.5/100 rating
Queen Sana
6.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Independent ExpertDiffers from our pick

Independent Expert holds a rating level with the top-rated Queen Sana, but it is the progressive profile that swings the verdict here, suggesting there is more to come from this runner over the Lingfield five furlongs on the all-weather surface. Queen Sana represents the most obvious threat as a co-rated rival, while Fiorella Princess and Over Spiced are respected dangers if either outperforms their current assessment. Independent Expert is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Queen Sana

Jason Watson · Ollie Sangster · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 52.5 · +1.7 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 2-2-2-6-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Ollie Sangster: 3/19 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 6.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.03
High (7–8)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Jason Watson · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 2
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing
222624
6952.511/2·6.396·6.00
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: David Probert · T: Grace Harris · draw 6
4yo · F · bpClass dropOnly runner
543323
6950.84/1·5.035.5·5.50
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Georgia Dobie · T: Clive Cox · draw 1 · combo 6/16 (38%)
3yo · F · bpFT POnly runner
74467
6548.914/1·15.1017·17.00
Matchbook · +13% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Charles Bishop · T: Robert Cowell · draw 7
4yo · F · bpOnly pairing
25326
6748.64/1·5.034.6·4.60
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 5 · combo 2/23 (9%)
3yo · F · bDOnly rideOnly runner
03151
6744.710/3·4.363/1·4.00
Quinn Bet · -8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Tom Queally · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 4
7yo · M · b
556894
6741.512/1·12.7813.5·13.50
Matchbook · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: David Evans · draw 8 · combo 1/17 (6%)
3yo · F · bOnly runner
896933
5839.6
6
J: William Cox · T: Archie Watson · draw 3 · combo 0/12 (0%)
3yo · F · b
31766
6534.612/1·13.9413·13.00
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 16% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap Stakes?

The Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 17:01 on 20 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:01 Lingfield (AW)?

5f, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:01 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:01 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Queen Sana (score 52.5, best price 6.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:01 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Sea Her Excel at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Queen Sana.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org