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Next · 21m14:30Gowran Park

14:30 Lingfield (AW)

Free Bets On attheraces.com Nursery Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners · £3,978 · Monday, 17 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 15/2·8.50
  1. 1st
    Poppy Foxy (IRE)AI top pick · 56.8
    Saffie Osborne·Charlie Clover
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Pequenita (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 2 lengths
    10/11F·1.91
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Parading (GB)
    Pat Dobbs·Richard Hughes·beaten 2 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
1m 37.84s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Poppy Foxy (IRE))

“Settled in the runner-up spot early - closed on the front-runner approaching the final two furlongs - hit the front inside the last - powered clear for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.10.57 score
Crazy Cubana
8.00Bet365

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Parading

Parading holds a narrow edge on ratings over Poppy Foxy and Little Mester, and over a mile on the Lingfield all-weather surface this sort of consistent profile can prove decisive in a tight Class 5 heat. Poppy Foxy and Little Mester are the most pressing dangers and will need to be watched closely throughout, while Pequenita cannot be entirely dismissed if the pace suits. On balance, the ratings edge and overall profile point in one direction, and Parading is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Poppy Foxy

Saffie Osborne · Charlie Clover · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 56.8 · +5.1 clear of next best (51.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    41d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=8)
    Charlie Clover: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 6-1-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.77
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.11
High (5–6)
IV 1.15

Today: Crazy Cubana (draw 5) and Little Mester (draw 6) get the bias; Parading (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Poppy Foxy
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charlie Clover · draw 4
2yo · F · b
6152
7056.8
15/2·8.50
SP
23
Pequenita
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
2yo · F · b
43
7048.3
10/11F·1.91
SP
35
Parading
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · C · b
05232
6751.7
11/4·3.75
SP
46
Magical Life
J: William Cox · T: J S Moore · draw 1
2yo · F · b
545431
5146.8
11/2·6.50
SP
54
Little Mester
J: Jack Doughty · T: Stuart Williams · draw 6
2yo · G · b
463
6744.7
18/1·19.00
SP
——
Crazy Cubanav1.1
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5
2yo · F · b
1030
7146.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Lingfield (AW) on 17 August 2026?

Poppy Foxy (IRE) won the 14:30 Lingfield (AW) at SP 8.50. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Charlie Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Poppy Foxy, won the race (AI score 56.8).

What were the placings in the 14:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Poppy Foxy (IRE) (8.50), 2. Pequenita (GB) (1.91), 3. Parading (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 37.84s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org