Yes, in places. Across 371 races from 2023-06-01 to 2026-06-09: over 5-6f — moderate: low (inside) favoured (iv 1.19); over 7-8f — moderate: high (outside) favoured (iv 1.09). Check the A/E column before betting it: a bias the market already prices in is not an edge.
2023-06-01 – 2026-06-09 results · 371 races · updated 9 June 2026
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 11.3% 56 wins | 18.6% | 1.19 vs course avg | 0.94 vs market | 66.2% | 495 |
| Middle | 10.1% 42 wins | 17.5% | 1.06 vs course avg | 0.99 vs market | 63.5% | 417 |
| High (outside) | 7% 32 wins | 12.9% | 0.74 vs course avg | 1.08 vs market | 58% | 459 |
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 11.3% 38 wins | 18.8% | 1.08 vs course avg | 1.08 vs market | 65.6% | 336 |
| Middle | 8.4% 23 wins | 15.3% | 0.80 vs course avg | 0.65 vs market | 65.6% | 274 |
| High (outside) | 11.3% 34 wins | 15.3% | 1.09 vs course avg | 1.21 vs market | 59.5% | 300 |
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 11.8% 59 wins | 20.9% | 1.10 vs course avg | 1.07 vs market | 66.1% | 498 |
| Middle | 10.5% 44 wins | 17% | 0.98 vs course avg | 1.07 vs market | 60.7% | 418 |
| High (outside) | 9.7% 44 wins | 16.6% | 0.90 vs course avg | 0.85 vs market | 59.1% | 453 |
Yes, in places. Across 371 races from 2023-06-01 to 2026-06-09: over 5-6f — moderate: low (inside) favoured (iv 1.19); over 7-8f — moderate: high (outside) favoured (iv 1.09). Check the A/E column before betting it: a bias the market already prices in is not an edge.
Partly. Some favoured bands at Beverley show A/E below 1 (bias over-priced), others do not — the tables below show which is which.
IV (Impact Value) is the group's win rate versus all runners in the same races — 1.00 is neutral. A/E is actual wins versus what de-overrounded Betfair prices expected — below 1 means the market over-bets that group. PRB is the mean percentage of rivals beaten, a finer-grained placing measure.
Method: stall numbers grouped into field thirds (low/middle/high) per race, so field size never skews the groups; IV against same-course same-band baseline; A/E against de-overrounded Betfair SP. Small samples are flagged rather than hidden. Racing Alpha does not accept bets. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org.