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15:54 Newmarket (July)

Feature

£200,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 20 runners · £108,220 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 16 · score 63.5 · +1.4 clear of next best · best 66/1·60.00
Best value vs consensus
18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +10% vs fair (consensus 16.86)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way55.3/100 rating
Zigazig Ah
7.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Night In VegasDiffers from our pick

Night In Vegas heads the field on these figures, narrowly ahead of A Bear Affair, and the pair pull clear of the remainder in what is a wide-open sprint at Newmarket's July course. The six-furlong trip on good-to-firm ground suits a horse of Night In Vegas's profile, and the confidence with which she can be supported is tempered by the presence of A Bear Affair, who is only a pound in arrears and represents a serious threat, with Topaz and Zigazig Ah also capable of making their presence felt in a large field. With the caveat that this is a competitive Class 2 with plenty of chances, Night In Vegas is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Supreme Star

Benoit de la Sayette · Marco Botti · 2yo

Top-rated of 20
score 63.5 · +1.4 clear of next best (62.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 6-2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    68strong
    Marco Botti: 6/22 winners last 14d (27%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
MarketBest price 60.00 (Matchbook) · 9th in the market of 20.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–7)
IV 0.95
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.80
High (15–20)
IV 1.24

Today: Conciliate (draw 20) and Baddaddan (draw 16) get the bias; Supreme Star (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
16
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Marco Botti · draw 9 · combo 0/8 (0%)
2yo · C · chOnly ride
622
7963.533/1·32.1860·60.00
Matchbook · +86% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 7 · combo 12/41 (29%)
2yo · C · bClass dropDOnly pairing
1153
10262.111/4·3.652.46·2.46
Smarkets · -32% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Neil Callan · T: John Butler · draw 20 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · C · bDOnly pairing
731
7861.025/1·26.0550·50.00
Matchbook · +92% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 13
2yo · C · bOnly runner
531
7759.240/1·39.8480·80.00
Matchbook · +101% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 1 · combo 6/53 (11%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
13
7858.750/1·52.10100·100.00
Matchbook · +92% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
19
J: Josephine Gordon · T: John Butler · draw 4
2yo · F · chDOnly ride
2102
7457.040/1·39.8475·75.00
Matchbook · +88% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 6 · combo 7/44 (16%)
2yo · F · bDGoing 2/3
2115
8555.38/1·9.197·7.00
Betfair Exchange · -24% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Robert Havlin · T: Richard Spencer · draw 16
2yo · G · bDOnly pairing
41
8354.016/1·16.8618.5·18.50
Matchbook · +10% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: David Probert · T: Jack Channon · draw 18 · combo 0/5 (0%)
2yo · F · bOn last winning markDGoing 1/3Only pairing
2021
8353.48/1·9.196.8·6.80
Matchbook · -26% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
18
J: George Bass · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5
2yo · F · brOnly runner
65319
6453.0100/1·102.67200·200.00
Matchbook · +95% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
17
J: Ashley Lewis · T: William Haggas · draw 17
2yo · F · bDOnly runner
917
7551.950/1·52.10100·100.00
Matchbook · +92% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 11 · combo 0/10 (0%)
2yo · C · chDOnly ride
641102
8151.718/1·18.3914.5·14.50
Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 19 · combo 12/75 (16%)
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
137628
9449.410/1·11.4915·15.00
Matchbook · +31% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Dylan Hogan · T: Michael Dods · draw 8
2yo · C · bOnly runner
325
7447.980/1·78.15120·120.00
Matchbook · +54% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 14 · combo 9/77 (12%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
23202
7347.333/1·32.1860·60.00
Matchbook · +86% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: James Tate · draw 12 · combo 0/5 (0%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
2
37.622/1·22.9936·36.00
Matchbook · +57% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
20
J: Olivia Tubb · T: Roger Teal · draw 10
2yo · F · bOnly ride
884
4837.0150/1·154.77140·140.00
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · draw 15 · combo 1/24 (4%)
2yo · F · b
3
24.040/1·39.8475·75.00
Matchbook · +88% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
2yo · C · bOnly ride
95
19.980/1·78.15140·140.00
Matchbook · +79% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Connor Planas · T: Jack Channon · draw 2
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
9
10.7100/1·124.12240·240.00
Matchbook · +93% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 53% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the £200,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction Stakes (GBB Race)?

The £200,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:54 on 22 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:54 Newmarket (July)?

6f, Class 2, Flat, 20 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:54 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:54 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Supreme Star (score 63.5, best price 60.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:54 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Night In Vegas at a best price of 2.46. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Supreme Star.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org