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14:25 York

Feature

Harry's Half Million By Goffs (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 22 runners · £249,908 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 75.8 · +3.5 clear of next best · best 11/10·2.12
Best value vs consensus
38·38.00 Smarkets · +17% vs fair (consensus 32.62)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way72.3/100 rating
Satellite Of Love
6.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Sun Goddess

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 22
score 75.8 · +3.5 clear of next best (72.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    94very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-2-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    76strong
    OR 114 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    11d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    A P O'Brien: 9/37 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketBest price 2.12 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 6 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–8)
IV 1.37
Mid (9–15)
IV 0.90
High (16–22)
IV 0.69

Today: Satellite Of Love (draw 6) and Thebesthasyetocome (draw 2) get the bias; Sun Goddess (draw 17) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 17 · combo 30/89 (34%)
2yo · F · bClass dropD
21211
11475.815/8·2.842.12·2.12
Betfair Exchange · -25% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
15
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 6 · combo 7/36 (19%)
2yo · C · bD
11
9172.37/1·7.806.8·6.80
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
17
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 2 · combo 9/57 (16%)
2yo · C · bDOnly rideOnly runner
31
8368.020/1·21.2720·20.00
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
2yo · C · grGoing 2/2Only rideOnly runner
11
8964.728/1·29.7842·42.00
Smarkets · +41% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
21
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 22 · combo 9/48 (19%)
2yo · F · bOn last winning markDOnly pairing
321
8162.766/1·72.32140·140.00
Smarkets · +94% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly runner
1104
9959.628/1·29.7822/1·23.00
Unibet · -23% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 3 · combo 2/18 (11%)
2yo · C · chDOnly pairing
62113
8557.522/1·24.1124·24.00
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 20 · combo 3/20 (15%)
2yo · C · bOnly rideOnly runner
261
8256.8100/1·95.01280·280.00
Smarkets · +195% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8 · combo 4/28 (14%)
2yo · G · bDOnly ride
211
7856.350/1·58.14130·130.00
Smarkets · +124% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Hector Crouch · T: Richard Hughes · draw 19 · combo 2/8 (25%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
4143
8256.2150/1·143.23125/1·126.00
William Hill · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 · combo 4/59 (7%)
2yo · C · ch
231
8156.150/1·58.14240·240.00
Smarkets · +313% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
18
J: James Doyle · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 13 · combo 1/8 (13%)
2yo · C · chDOnly pairing
314
8653.8100/1·95.01160·160.00
Smarkets · +68% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 12 · combo 7/104 (7%)
2yo · G · chDGoing 2/6Only ride
312124
8053.0150/1·143.23190·190.00
Smarkets · +33% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 · combo 7/38 (18%)
2yo · F · btClass dropDOnly pairing
119
8851.933/1·32.6234·34.00
Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
22
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 1 · combo 1/27 (4%)
2yo · F · btOnly pairing
154362
9649.533/1·32.6238·38.00
Smarkets · +17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 · combo 20/201 (10%)
2yo · C · btOnly ride
310
8048.3200/1·178.68300·300.00
Smarkets · +68% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
20
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 15 · combo 16/105 (15%)
2yo · F · chD
2106
7846.250/1·58.14130·130.00
Smarkets · +124% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 16 · combo 3/31 (10%)
2yo · C · bFirst after wind opClass dropOnly runner
260
8642.1100/1·95.01260·260.00
Smarkets · +174% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Clive Cox · draw 21 · combo 2/7 (29%)
2yo · C · bDOnly pairing
51
38.833/1·36.8760·60.00
Smarkets · +63% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
19
J: Gina Mangan · T: Archie Watson · draw 9
2yo · F · bbFT BOnly ride
1900
7836.7150/1·143.23360·360.00
Matchbook · +151% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Tony Piccone · T: Amy Murphy · draw 4
2yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
21111
34.76/1·7.098.2·8.20
Smarkets · +16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
16
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Clive Cox · draw 18
2yo · C · chOnly pairing
63
31.3100/1·95.01140·140.00
Smarkets · +47% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 42% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Harry's Half Million By Goffs (GBB Race)?

The Harry's Half Million By Goffs (GBB Race) is off at 14:25 on 20 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:25 York?

6f, Class 2, Flat, 22 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:25 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:25 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Sun Goddess (score 75.8, best price 2.12). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:25 York?

The market favourite is Sun Goddess at a best price of 2.12.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org