15:05 Ascot

Feature

Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (No Geldings)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 22 runners · £396,970 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Venetian Sun (IRE)
Clifford Lee·K R Burke
11/8F·2.38
SP
2nd
Spicy Marg (GB)
Tom Marquand·Michael Bell·beaten 0.2 lengths
50/1·51.00
SP
3rd
Division (GB)AI top pick · 71.9
James Doyle·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP

Race time

1m 12.08s+0.08s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Venetian Sun

Venetian Sun heads this field on form that speaks for itself — after failing to see out a mile at the highest level, she bounced back emphatically when dropped to six furlongs at Haydock, confirming that this trip is her optimum. The daughter of Starman won over course and distance twelve months ago and, with Clifford Lee aboard from stall 13, she has plenty of tactical options in what promises to be a strongly run sprint on good-to-firm ground. Albert Einstein has shown steady progression and could peak over this stiff six furlongs, while Havana Anna's juvenile record marks her out as high-class and Charles Darwin merits respect now fitted with headgear, though he has ground to make up after a flat reappearance. Venetian Sun is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Division

James Doyle · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 22

score 71.9 · +1.3 clear of next best (70.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
73strong
OR 109
Form20% weight
68strong
Last 6: 1-1-5-3-2
Trainer20% weight
60average
William Haggas: 11/46 winners last 14d (24%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–8)

IV 1.07

Mid (9–15)

IV 0.72

High (16–22)

IV 1.19

Today: Charles Darwin (draw 20) and Brussels (draw 18) get the bias; Venetian Sun (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	21	Venetian Sun J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 13 3yo · F · b	11301	8-13	115	—	—	70.4	11/8F·2.38 SP
2	20	Spicy Marg J: Tom Marquand · T: Michael Bell · draw 8 3yo · F · b	04183	8-13	103	—	—	59.6	50/1·51.00 SP
3	6	Division J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 3 3yo · C · b	11532	9-02	109	—	—	71.9	8/1·9.00 SP
4	17	Havana Anna J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 7 3yo · F · b	12201	8-13	113	—	—	63.4	28/1·29.00 SP
5	16	Fitzella J: James McDonald · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 16 3yo · F · b	12556	8-13	102	—	—	54.5	50/1·51.00 SP
6	12	Samangan J: Mickael Barzalona · T: F-H Graffard · draw 9 3yo · C · b	11124	9-02	110	—	—	68.8	18/1·19.00 SP
7	13	Song Of The Clyde J: Hector Crouch · T: Clive Cox · draw 2 3yo · C · b	12541	9-02	108	—	—	63.2	40/1·41.00 SP
8	5	Coppull J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 14 3yo · C · b	31531	9-02	110	—	—	64.7	9/1·10.00 SP
9	9	Northern Champion J: Jamie Spencer · T: Ed Walker · draw 5 3yo · C · b	59110	9-02	104	—	—	58.6	80/1·81.00 SP
10	10	Outfielder J: David Egan · T: Wesley A Ward · draw 21 3yo · C · bt	41011	9-02	108	—	—	59.8	25/1·26.00 SP
11	18	Kimi Rey J: Clement Lecoeuvre · T: F-H Graffard · draw 4 3yo · F · b	13123	8-13	102	—	—	66.1	150/1·151.00 SP
12	2	Aspect Island J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 19 3yo · C · chv	33730	9-02	106	—	—	57.0	50/1·51.00 SP
13	19	Midnight Tango J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 17 3yo · F · b	44602	8-13	104	—	—	58.5	50/1·51.00 SP
14	1	Albert Einstein J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 3yo · C · b	11632	9-02	107	—	—	68.9	9/2·5.50 SP
15	11	Rock On Thunder J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 22 3yo · C · bpFT P	92266	9-02	109	—	—	54.0	125/1·126.00 SP
16	4	Charles Darwin J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 20 3yo · C · bbFT B	11118	9-02	110	—	—	70.7	10/1·11.00 SP
16	22	Zanthos J: Oisin Murphy · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 1 3yo · F · ch	1219	8-13	111	—	—	57.1	28/1·29.00 SP
18	7	Havana Hurricane J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 10 3yo · C · b	23463	9-02	101	—	—	60.2	50/1·51.00 SP
19	3	Brussels J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 18 3yo · C · btpFT TP	22264	9-02	105	—	—	66.8	66/1·67.00 SP
19	8	My Calyx Cen J: Aurelien Lemaitre · T: Patrik Olave Valdivielso · draw 6 3yo · C · b	21111	9-02	107	—	—	61.9	80/1·81.00 SP
21	14	Super Soldier J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K R Burke · draw 12 3yo · C · gr	79400	9-02	100	—	—	51.5	250/1·251.00 SP
22	15	Wise Approach J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 15 3yo · C · b	13154	9-02	113	—	—	66.2	14/1·15.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:05 Ascot on 19 June 2026?

Venetian Sun (IRE) won the 15:05 Ascot at SP 2.38. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K R Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Division) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:05 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Venetian Sun (IRE) (2.38), 2. Spicy Marg (GB) (51.00), 3. Division (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 12.08s, on standard time.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org