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4:30

Cartmel

Great Britain

Molson Coors Handicap Chase

Saturday, 23 May 2026

3m1½f·Chase·Class 5·Good To Soft·11 runners·£4,257

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.063.7/100 rating
Defence Witness
6.50Bet365· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way63.7/100 rating
Defence Witness
6.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Defence Witness

Richie McLernon · Sam England · 7yo

63.7/100
+11.2 vs next best (52.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    43d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    66strong
    OR 94 · RPR 104 · TS 98 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 2-1-2-7-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Sam England: 4/21 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 6.50 (Bet365) — 3rd pick of 11 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAIBest priceAdd to betslip
10
8yo · G · btb
38735
12-001001059352.511/1·12.00Bet365
20
7yo · G · brtp
21272
11-08941049863.711/2·6.50Bet365
30
11yo · G · bp
54P62
11-02881029652.17.4·7.40Betfair Exchange
40
7yo · M · ch
5PPP4
11-00861026149.616/1·17.00Coral
50
6yo · G · ch
4424F
10-138510551.05.5·5.50Betfair Exchange
60
9yo · G · b
6P4PP
10-13855730.233/1·34.00Bet365
70
7yo · G · blp
77P8
10-11836534.914/1·15.00Bet365
80
8yo · G · bFirst after wind op
P636
10-11831028850.810/1·11.00Bet365
90
7yo · G · bt
53661
10-10821068951.315/8·2.88Bet365
100
11yo · G · bp
21P9P
10-067832.533/1·34.00Bet365
110
9yo · G · ch
P86FP
10-02743235.2150/1·151.00Bet365

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Molson Coors Handicap Chase?

The Molson Coors Handicap Chase is off at 4:30 on 23 May 2026 at Cartmel (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 4:30 Cartmel?

3m1½f, Class 5, Chase, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 4:30 Cartmel?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 4:30 Cartmel?

The AI top-rated runner is Defence Witness (score 63.7, best price 6.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 4:30 Cartmel?

The market favourite is Halfway House Lad at a best price of 2.88. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Defence Witness.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

A winner over 2m5f on this card last year and over further since, DEFENCE WITNESS can deny Halfway House Lad the follow-up.

Racing Post pick: Defence Witness

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

15/8 Halfway House Lad, 4/1 Kaviar Wood, 9/2 Defence Witness, Thehairyfella, 10/1 Isle Of Sark, Mistymal, 16/1 Jakana, 25/1 Lights Are Green, Croagh Patrick, 50/1 Jet Light, 150/1 Fast Deal

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org