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RacingAlpha

17:05 Cartmel

St Marys Hospice Handicap Chase

2m5f · Chase · Class 5 · Good · 12 runners · £4,370 · Saturday, 23 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Imperial Rule (IRE)
    Sean Quinlan·Lizzie Quinlan
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Zumbi (GER)
    Leah Noreci·James Moffatt·beaten 0.3 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Kingofthegame (IRE)
    Ryan Mania·Martin Todhunter·beaten 8 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
5m 12.43s+5.43s vs std

Slow — soft ground or steady early gallop common over jumps.

In-running (Imperial Rule (IRE))

Held up in rear - steady headway from 9th - went second run-in - soon ridden - pressed leader final 110yds - led final strides

AI top-rated Clonakilty (score 67.4) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Line Of Descent

This could be the day again for LINE OF DESCENT who represents connections who won this in 2024. Jack's A Legend is next best.

Forecast 11/4 Line Of Descent, 4/1 Jack's A Legend, 5/1 Zumbi, 11/2 Italian Spirit, 10/1 Clonakilty, Kingofthegame, 12/1 Judicial Review, 14/1 Of Corse I Can, 16/1 Imperial Rule, 33/1 Walkinthecotswolds, Blazing Court, 100/1 Cardamon Hill

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Clonakilty

Alan Doyle(3) · Lizzie Quinlan · 9yo

Top-rated of 12
score 67.4 · +4.0 clear of next best (63.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Lizzie Quinlan: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    43d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 100 · RPR 104 · TS 106 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    23weak
    Last 6: 0-P-7-4
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Sean Quinlan · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 0
9yo · G · bt
3365
9563.5
25/1·26.00
SP
27
J: Leah Noreci(10) · T: James Moffatt · draw 0
9yo · G · grt
PP442
8849.8
7/2·4.50
SP
311
J: Ryan Mania · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 0
8yo · G · b
P54F
7640.7
7/2·4.50
SP
42
J: Sean Bowen · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 0
8yo · G · btp
6232
9759.0
3/1F·4.00
SP
512
9yo · G · grp
11456
7549.7
12/1·13.00
SP
66
J: Charlotte Jones · T: James Moffatt · draw 0
8yo · G · chtb
21P9P
8842.4
12/1·13.00
SP
73
11yo · G · bt
P133
9563.4
15/2·8.50
SP
89
10yo · G · bb
53542
8749.4
13/2·7.50
SP
91
J: Alan Doyle(3) · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 0
9yo · G · btp
0P74
10067.4
28/1·29.00
SP
105
J: Patrick Wadge · T: Miss A M Slack · draw 0
9yo · G · brp
5P5P
9050.9
66/1·67.00
SP
PU8
J: Tabitha Worsley · T: Harriet Dickin · draw 0
7yo · M · bbFirst after wind op
PP7P
8836.7
33/1·34.00
SP
UR10
J: Mr John Dixon(7) · T: John Dixon · draw 0
8yo · G · bp
5405U
8338.5
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:05 Cartmel on 23 May 2026?

Imperial Rule (IRE) won the 17:05 Cartmel at SP 26.00. Ridden by Sean Quinlan. Trained by Lizzie Quinlan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:05 Cartmel?

No — the AI top pick (Clonakilty) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 17:05 Cartmel?

Top finishers: 1. Imperial Rule (IRE) (26.00), 2. Zumbi (GER) (4.50), 3. Kingofthegame (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:05 Cartmel?

The winning time was 5m 12.43s, 5.43s slower than standard.

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