Who won the 14:00 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?
Wild Blossom (IRE) won the 14:00 Carlisle at SP 2.88. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by K R Burke.
14:00 Carlisle
British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
5f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 4 runners · £21,600 · Monday, 18 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stWild Blossom (IRE)James Doyle·K R Burke15/8·2.88SP
- 2ndCrownbreaker (IRE)AI top pick · 62.0Rowan Scott·Kevin Philippart De Foy·beaten 10 lengths5/4F·2.25SP
- 3rdMiss Havisham (IRE)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten 4.25 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 5.33s+5.63s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Wild Blossom (IRE))
“Pressed leader - led and pushed along under 2f out - clear when ridden inside final furlong - ran on well - impressive”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Wild Blossom
There is an air of inevitability about WILD BLOSSOM who is first choice ahead of Crownbreaker.
Forecast 6/4 Crownbreaker, Wild Blossom, 9/2 Miss Havisham, 7/1 Calef
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Crownbreaker
Rowan Scott · Kevin Philippart De Foy · 2yo
Top-rated of 4
score 62.0 · +41.0 clear of next best (21.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight69strongRPR 104 · TS 103 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 3
- Trainer20% weight28weakKevin Philippart De Foy: 2/18 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.10
High (4–4)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: James Doyle · T: K R Burke · draw 3 2yo · F · b | — | — | 19.5 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 3 | — | 62.0 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 21.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 4 2yo · F · b | — | — | 17.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Crownbreaker) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:00 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Wild Blossom (IRE) (2.88), 2. Crownbreaker (IRE) (2.25), 3. Miss Havisham (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:00 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 5.33s, 5.63s slower than standard.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org