16:00 Carlisle

racingtv.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 11 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Freddie Steady Go (GB)
Cam Hardie·Susan Corbett
150/1·151.00
SP
2nd
Wezzeer (IRE)AI top pick · 61.2
Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten .75 lengths
7/2·4.50
SP
3rd
Dark Sovereign (IRE)
Callum Rodriguez·Ralph Beckett·beaten 3.25 lengths
100/30·4.33
SP

Race time

1m 32.75s+7.95s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Freddie Steady Go (GB))

“Made all - ridden over 1f out - edged right inside final furlong - faced challenge final 110yds - kept on well”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Lunar Melody

The pick on these terms is LUNAR MELODY. Southern raiders Dark Sovereign and Wezzeer are respected.

Forecast 6/4 Lunar Melody, 2/1 Wezzeer, 9/2 Dark Sovereign, 7/1 Blue Boy Junior, 12/1 Bee Farmer, 33/1 Albemagic, Great Profit, 40/1 Freddie Steady Go, Tzarmaggedon, 66/1 Golden Harvest, Royal Sizzler

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wezzeer

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 61.2 · +7.3 clear of next best (53.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
19d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
87very strong
Last 6: 3-1
Ratings50% weight
51average
RPR 76 — above field median
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Roger Varian: 3/18 winners last 14d (17%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.00

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.83

High (9–11)

IV 1.16

Today: Wezzeer (draw 11) and Dark Sovereign (draw 10) get the bias; Blue Boy Junior (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Freddie Steady Go J: Cam Hardie · T: Susan Corbett · draw 1 5yo · G · bt	77	10-01	—	71	60	41.8	150/1·151.00 SP
2	2	Wezzeer J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 11 3yo · C · b	31	9-11	—	76	—	61.2	7/2·4.50 SP
3	6	Dark Sovereign J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 10 3yo · G · gr	45	9-04	—	75	72	46.5	100/30·4.33 SP
4	5	Blue Boy Junior J: David Nolan · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 5 3yo · G · b	4	9-04	—	73	50	38.0	100/30·4.33 SP
5	10	Lunar Melody J: James Doyle · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2 3yo · F · b	52	8-13	—	82	71	53.9	13/8F·2.62 SP
6	4	Bee Farmer J: Kevin Stott · T: Edward Bethell · draw 8 3yo · G · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	17.0	17/2·9.50 SP
7	3	Albemagic J: P J McDonald · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 6 3yo · G · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	20.0	33/1·34.00 SP
8	8	Great Profit J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Gary Harrison · draw 3 3yo · G · bh	764	9-04	62	65	43	46.2	200/1·201.00 SP
9	7	Golden Harvest J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 4 3yo · G · b	0	9-04	—	—	—	13.5	300/1·301.00 SP
10	11	Royal Sizzler J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 9 3yo · F · bh	50	8-13	—	61	38	25.0	150/1·151.00 SP
11	9	Tzarmaggedon J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 7 3yo · G · ch	9	9-04	—	34	—	21.0	200/1·201.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?

Freddie Steady Go (GB) won the 16:00 Carlisle at SP 151.00. Ridden by Cam Hardie. Trained by Susan Corbett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Wezzeer) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Freddie Steady Go (GB) (151.00), 2. Wezzeer (IRE) (4.50), 3. Dark Sovereign (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 32.75s, 7.95s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org