Who won the 15:30 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?
Loki (GER) won the 15:30 Carlisle at SP 6.50. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero.
15:30 Carlisle
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1m6f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 9 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 18 May 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/2·6.50Race report
- 1stLoki (GER)AI top pick · 59.0P J McDonald·Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndCascade Hall (IRE)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
- 3rdAs Fast As Wind (IRE)Rowan Scott·Tristan Davidson·beaten 4 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
3m 17.63s+12.63s vs std
Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.
In-running (Loki (GER))
“Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway and switched to near side over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: As Fast As Wind
Being possibly capable of better still in Flat turf handicaps, AS FAST AS WIND (nap) is taken to win again. Lord is second pick.
Forecast 11/4 As Fast As Wind, 5/1 Cascade Hall, 6/1 Loki, Lord, Swinging London, Charlie Darling, 12/1 Ashdown Forest, 14/1 Haarar, Billy No Mates
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Loki
P J McDonald · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · 4yo
Top-rated of 9
score 59.0 · +2.2 clear of next best (56.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 1-0-2-2-2
- Trainer20% weight63averageOliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 75 · RPR 94 — highest combined rating in the field
- Freshness10% weight45below average199d since last run (long absence)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: P J McDonald · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 10222 | 75 | 59.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 7yo · G · bh | 55071 | 56 | 45.5 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 3 6yo · M · ch | 5141 | 66 | 56.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 10yo · G · b | 46493 | 59 | 39.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Sam England · draw 6 7yo · G · b | 29851 | 68 | 42.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Alan Brown · draw 5 6yo · G · ch | 57311 | 62 | 51.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Donald McCain · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 423 | 74 | 50.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Ray Dawson · T: John Mackie · draw 2 8yo · G · btp | 14441 | 70 | 49.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 33354 | 67 | 52.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Carlisle?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Loki, won the race (AI score 59.0).
What were the placings in the 15:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Loki (GER) (6.50), 2. Cascade Hall (IRE) (3.50), 3. As Fast As Wind (IRE) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 3m 17.63s, 12.63s slower than standard.
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