Who won the 3:30 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?
Loki (GER) won the 3:30 Carlisle at SP 6.50. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero.
← All racecards3:30
Carlisle
Great BritainFollow Racing TV On X Handicap
Monday, 18 May 2026
1m6f·Flat·Class 5·Soft·9 runners·£4,187
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 6.50Race report
- 1stLoki (GER)AI top pick · 59.0P J McDonald·Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero6.50SP
- 2ndCascade Hall (IRE)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths3.50SP
- 3rdAs Fast As Wind (IRE)Rowan Scott·Tristan Davidson·beaten 4 lengths4.00SP
Race time
3m 17.63s+12.63s vs std
Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.
In-running (Loki (GER))
“Took keen hold - in touch with leaders - headway and switched to near side over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - stayed on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.059.0/100 rating
Loki
12.00Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way59.0/100 rating
Loki
12.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Loki
P J McDonald · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · 4yo
59.0/100
+2.2 vs next best (56.8)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 1-0-2-2-2
- Trainer20% weight63averageOliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 75 · RPR 94 — highest combined rating in the field
- Freshness10% weight45below average199d since last run (long absence)
MarketBest price 12.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 4th pick of 9 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 9 | 4yo · G · b | 10222 | 9-09 | 75 | 94 | — | 59.0 | 11/2 SP | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 4yo · G · b | 423 | 9-08 | 74 | 79 | 59 | 50.3 | 6/1 SP | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 8yo · G · btp | 14441 | 9-04 | 70 | 84 | 77 | 49.1 | 16/1 SP | |
| 5 | 4 | 6 | 7yo · G · b | 29851 | 9-02 | 68 | — | — | 42.0 | 12/1 SP | |
| 9 | 5 | 7 | 4yo · G · bp | 33354 | 9-01 | 67 | 86 | 82 | 52.5 | 16/1 SP | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 6yo · M · ch | 5141 | 9-00 | 66 | 85 | 74 | 56.8 | 3/1 SP | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 6yo · G · ch | 57311 | 8-10 | 62 | 87 | — | 51.0 | 10/1 SP | |
| 4 | 8 | 8 | 10yo · G · b | 46493 | 8-07 | 59 | 85 | 83 | 39.5 | 14/1 SP | |
| 2 | 9 | 4 | 7yo · G · bh | 55071 | 8-04 | 56 | 82 | 81 | 45.5 | 5/2F SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 3:30 Carlisle?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Loki, won the race (AI score 59.0).
What were the placings in the 3:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Loki (GER) (6.50), 2. Cascade Hall (IRE) (3.50), 3. As Fast As Wind (IRE) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 3:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 3m 17.63s, 12.63s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyBeing possibly capable of better still in Flat turf handicaps, AS FAST AS WIND (nap) is taken to win again. Lord is second pick.
Racing Post pick: As Fast As Wind
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook11/4 As Fast As Wind, 5/1 Cascade Hall, 6/1 Loki, Lord, Swinging London, Charlie Darling, 12/1 Ashdown Forest, 14/1 Haarar, Billy No Mates
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org