Who won the 2:30 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?
Harb (GB) won the 2:30 Carlisle at SP 12.00. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Tristan Davidson.
← All racecards2:30
Carlisle
Great BritainRacing TV Handicap
Monday, 18 May 2026
5f·Flat·Class 5·Good·10 runners·£4,187
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stHarb (GB)Rowan Scott·Tristan Davidson12.00SP
- 2ndFierce (IRE)Ray Dawson·Paul Midgley·beaten .75 lengths6.50SP
- 3rdWen Moon (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam·beaten .5 lengths5.50SP
Race time
1m 4.61s+4.91s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Harb (GB))
“In rear - pushed along 2f out - headway over 1f out - ridden inside final furlong - led towards finish”
AI top-rated Speeding Bullet (score 54.6) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.054.6/100 rating
Speeding Bullet
20.00Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way51.0/100 rating
Fierce
8.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Speeding Bullet
David Nolan · Paul Midgley · 5yo
54.6/100
+3.6 vs next best (51.0)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight50averagePaul Midgley: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight50below averageOR 69 · RPR 84 · TS 70
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 1-4-2-2-0
MarketBest price 20.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 9th pick of 10 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 10 | 5yo · M · gr | 76514 | 9-06 | 72 | 85 | 71 | 45.6 | 8/1 SP | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 6yo · G · b | 76510 | 9-04 | 70 | 85 | 86 | 45.0 | 9/2 SP | |
| 7 | 4 | 9 | 5yo · G · b | 14220 | 9-03 | 69 | 84 | 70 | 54.6 | 11/1 SP | |
| 9 | 5 | 4 | 7yo · M · b | 00703 | 9-03 | 69 | 84 | 56 | 34.8 | 12/1 SP | |
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 6yo · G · b | 05573 | 9-02 | 68 | 86 | 77 | 51.0 | 11/2 SP | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 5yo · G · b | 80696 | 9-01 | 67 | 87 | 91 | 34.3 | 11/2 SP | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 4yo · G · b | 36443 | 9-00 | 66 | 85 | 77 | 41.9 | 4/1F SP | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4yo · G · ch | 216342 | 8-12 | 64 | 88 | 61 | 50.3 | 7/1 SP | |
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 7yo · G · b | 514788 | 8-10 | 62 | 83 | 58 | 41.1 | 11/1 SP | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 4yo · G · b | 6440 | 8-05 | 57 | 80 | 53 | 41.0 | 22/1 SP | |
| — | — | 11 | 4yo · G · b | 73109 | 9-09 | 75 | 84 | 65 | 41.1 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 2:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Speeding Bullet) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 2:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Harb (GB) (12.00), 2. Fierce (IRE) (6.50), 3. Wen Moon (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 2:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 4.61s, 4.91s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyIn his current form and in this particular field, DC COGENT may be able to register a belated first handicap success.
Racing Post pick: Dc Cogent
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook3/1 Blue Lakota, 11/2 Keldeo, Dc Cogent, 13/2 Hurt You Never, 8/1 Harb, 10/1 Acrisius, Fierce, 12/1 Imperial Guard, 14/1 Wen Moon, Speeding Bullet, 20/1 Harry Mole
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org