Who won the 14:30 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?
Harb (GB) won the 14:30 Carlisle at SP 12.00. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Tristan Davidson.
14:30 Carlisle
Racing TV Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 18 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stHarb (GB)Rowan Scott·Tristan Davidson11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndFierce (IRE)Ray Dawson·Paul Midgley·beaten .75 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdWen Moon (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam·beaten .5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 4.61s+4.91s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Harb (GB))
“In rear - pushed along 2f out - headway over 1f out - ridden inside final furlong - led towards finish”
AI top-rated Speeding Bullet (score 54.6) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Dc Cogent
In his current form and in this particular field, DC COGENT may be able to register a belated first handicap success.
Forecast 3/1 Blue Lakota, 11/2 Keldeo, Dc Cogent, 13/2 Hurt You Never, 8/1 Harb, 10/1 Acrisius, Fierce, 12/1 Imperial Guard, 14/1 Wen Moon, Speeding Bullet, 20/1 Harry Mole
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Speeding Bullet
David Nolan · Paul Midgley · 5yo
Top-rated of 10
score 54.6 · +3.6 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight50averagePaul Midgley: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight50below averageOR 69 · RPR 84 · TS 70
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 1-4-2-2-0
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.10
High (9–11)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 8 7yo · G · b | 514788 | 62 | 41.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Paul Midgley · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 05573 | 68 | 51.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 1 6yo · G · b | 76510 | 70 | 45.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Ollie Pears · draw 10 5yo · M · gr | 76514 | 72 | 45.6 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Faye McManoman · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 6440 | 57 | 41.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 36443 | 66 | 41.9 | 4/1F·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 9 5yo · G · b | 14220 | 69 | 54.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 80696 | 67 | 34.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 4 7yo · M · b | 00703 | 69 | 34.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 4yo · G · ch | 216342 | 64 | 50.3 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 73109 | 75 | 41.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Speeding Bullet) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Harb (GB) (12.00), 2. Fierce (IRE) (6.50), 3. Wen Moon (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 4.61s, 4.91s slower than standard.
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