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Next · 12m19:00Wolverhampton (AW)

16:35 Carlisle

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1m · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 10 runners · £3,402 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Mereside Princess (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David & Nicola Barron
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hatamoto (GB)
    Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.5 lengths
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cobalt Comet (GB)
    Cam Hardie·John Mackie·beaten 0.3 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 47.25s+10.45s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

In-running (Mereside Princess (IRE))

“Made all - led field to near side home straight - ridden 2f out - ran on inside final furlong”

AI top-rated Thankfully Simmy (score 44.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Thankfully Simmy

A maiden handicap in all but name. THANKFULLY SIMMY may be one to get off the mark. Cobalt Comet is second pick.

Forecast 4/1 Mereside Princess, 9/2 Thankfully Simmy, Cobalt Comet, Hatamoto, 11/2 Smoker Bellamy, 7/1 Too Darn Spicy, 14/1 Helios Path, 20/1 The Floors Munky, Dandy Orton, Royal Baroness

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Thankfully Simmy

David Nolan · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 44.7 · +1.9 clear of next best (42.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 5-4-2-4-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 60 · RPR 69 · TS 53 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Richard & Peter Fahey: 6/50 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.83
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Hatamoto (draw 10) and Mereside Princess (draw 9) get the bias; Thankfully Simmy (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Mereside Princess
J: Mark Winn · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 9
3yo · F · br/grb
376643
4934.0
7/2·4.50
SP
24
Hatamoto
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
3yo · G · b
556
5539.7
13/8F·2.62
SP
33
Cobalt Comet
J: Cam Hardie · T: John Mackie · draw 5
3yo · G · bh
0663
5837.6
17/2·9.50
SP
410
Royal Baroness
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 7
3yo · F · b
660
4623.1
22/1·23.00
SP
51
Too Darn Spicy
J: Jack Garritty · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1
3yo · F · b
3588
6035.7
22/1·23.00
SP
62
Thankfully Simmy
J: David Nolan · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6
3yo · G · bpFT P
54246
6044.7
6/1·7.00
SP
75
Smoker Bellamy
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 3
3yo · G · bpFT P
66420
5042.8
11/2·6.50
SP
89
Dandy Orton
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Wilf Storey · draw 2
3yo · G · bh
57556
4630.9
50/1·51.00
SP
98
The Floors Munky
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 4
3yo · G · b
5700
4724.4
33/1·34.00
SP
106
Helios Path
J: P J McDonald · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 8
3yo · G · b
058
4932.6
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?

Mereside Princess (IRE) won the 16:35 Carlisle at SP 4.50. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by David & Nicola Barron.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Thankfully Simmy) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:35 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Mereside Princess (IRE) (4.50), 2. Hatamoto (GB) (2.62), 3. Cobalt Comet (GB) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 47.25s, 10.45s slower than standard.

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