17:10 Carlisle

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
They All Know Me (GB)
David Nolan·Richard & Peter Fahey
11/1·12.00
SP
2nd
Judicature (GB)
Tom Eaves·Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith·beaten 0.2 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP
3rd
Green Pursuit (IRE)
Dale Swift·Seb Spencer·beaten .75 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP

Race time

1m 32.23s+7.43s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (They All Know Me (GB))

“In rear - niggled along before halfway - ridden over 2f out - headway towards near side over 1f out - soon switched right - disputing lead final 110yds - led narrowly towards finish”

AI top-rated Vince Le Prince (score 49.3) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Native Instinct

With the drop back to about 7f ideal, Hamilton runner-up NATIVE INSTINCT is taken to go one better. Green Pursuit is second pick.

Forecast 11/4 Native Instinct, 11/2 Green Pursuit, 13/2 This Farh, Black Storm, Judicature, 8/1 Vince Le Prince, 12/1 They All Know Me, 14/1 William Dewhirst, Bay Breeze, 16/1 Wish This, 20/1 Detective

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Vince Le Prince

Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby · 6yo

Top-rated of 10

score 49.3 · +2.0 clear of next best (47.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
11d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 4-2-2-2-7
Ratings50% weight
51average
OR 68 · RPR 85 · TS 75
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Tim Easterby: 12/103 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.00

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.83

High (9–11)

IV 1.16

Today: Bay Breeze (draw 9) and Judicature (draw 10) get the bias; Wish This (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	They All Know Me J: David Nolan · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 4yo · G · gr	33288	9-08	73	83	41	43.1	11/1·12.00 SP
2	8	Judicature J: Tom Eaves · T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith · draw 10 4yo · G · b	97594	9-02	67	84	68	44.8	14/1·15.00 SP
3	5	Green Pursuit J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 7 4yo · G · b	72005	9-07	72	87	44	35.3	4/1·5.00 SP
4	6	Black Storm J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Katie Scott · draw 4 5yo · G · br	22304	9-04	69	86	62	42.6	4/1·5.00 SP
5	7	Vince Le Prince J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 6yo · G · btp	42227	9-03	68	85	75	49.3	8/1·9.00 SP
6	1	Native Instinct J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 4yo · G · b	60562	9-09	74	89	85	47.3	7/4F·2.75 SP
7	9	Bay Breeze J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 7yo · G · bp	09206	9-02	67	86	82	45.2	28/1·29.00 SP
8	10	Wish This J: Ray Dawson · T: Alan Brown · draw 6 4yo · G · bb	95166	9-01	66	83	—	46.1	18/1·19.00 SP
9	2	William Dewhirst J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ben Haslam · draw 8 6yo · G · b	32797	9-09	74	79	—	42.8	22/1·23.00 SP
10	11	Detective J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 3 10yo · G · b	78269	8-10	61	86	84	40.7	25/1·26.00 SP
—	—	This Farh J: NON-RUNNER · T: David Loughnane · draw 11 4yo · G · bp	64614	9-07	72	85	54	41.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:10 Carlisle on 18 May 2026?

They All Know Me (GB) won the 17:10 Carlisle at SP 12.00. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:10 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Vince Le Prince) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 17:10 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. They All Know Me (GB) (12.00), 2. Judicature (GB) (15.00), 3. Green Pursuit (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:10 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 32.23s, 7.43s slower than standard.

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