18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 24m19:30Wolverhampton (AW)

Events And Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £5,757 · Tuesday, 19 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Rosa Inglesa (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Charlie Fellowes
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Capichera (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten 2.75 lengths
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Runswick (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Ed Dunlop·beaten 2 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 48.00s+7.90s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Rosa Inglesa (GB))

Midfield - good headway on outer over 2f out - shaken up to lead over 1f out - ridden and ran on well inside final furlong - comfortably

AI top-rated North Force (score 58.0) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Capichera

Handicap debutante CAPICHERA (nap) has strong form and is taken to get off the mark. North Force is second pick.

Forecast 11/4 Capichera, 4/1 Rosa Inglesa, 9/2 North Force, 5/1 Domination, 8/1 Runswick, 10/1 Chapter, 12/1 Beyond The Bar, 16/1 Island Bear, 25/1 I'm Just Ken

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

North Force

Shane Gray · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 58.0 · +5.8 clear of next best (52.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 3-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 77 · RPR 89 · TS 71
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Richard & Peter Fahey: 8/55 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–9)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3
3yo · F · b
2163
7652.2
3/1·4.00
SP
22
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 4
3yo · F · b
423
8051.1
11/4F·3.75
SP
31
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 5
3yo · C · b
0610
8052.1
9/1·10.00
SP
49
J: Joanna Mason · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 1
3yo · G · b
07761
7241.9
8/1·9.00
SP
53
3yo · G · b
2367
7944.0
22/1·23.00
SP
68
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Charles Hills · draw 6
3yo · G · b
74713
7650.3
10/1·11.00
SP
76
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8
3yo · G · b
32167
7649.2
18/1·19.00
SP
85
3yo · C · b
3232
7758.0
100/30·4.33
SP
94
J: Ross Coakley · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7
3yo · G · gr/rot
3550
7743.9
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:50 Nottingham on 19 May 2026?

Rosa Inglesa (GB) won the 15:50 Nottingham at SP 4.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Charlie Fellowes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:50 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (North Force) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 15:50 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Rosa Inglesa (GB) (4.00), 2. Capichera (IRE) (3.75), 3. Runswick (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:50 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 48.00s, 7.90s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org