Who won the 4:12 Ayr on 20 May 2026?
Roaring Ralph (GB) won the 4:12 Ayr at SP 5.50. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Michael Dods.
← All racecards4:12
Ayr
Great BritainBirra Poretti Handicap (Div I)
Wednesday, 20 May 2026
7f·Flat·Class 5·Good To Firm·9 runners·£4,187
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 5.50Race report
- 1stRoaring Ralph (GB)AI top pick · 52.1Connor Beasley·Michael Dods5.50SP
- 2ndNovak (GB)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 1 length12.00SP
- 3rdAl Muqdad (GB)David Nolan·David O'Meara·beaten 0.2 lengths5.50SP
Race time
1m 28.33s+1.73s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Roaring Ralph (GB))
“Held up in midfield - good headway when ridden over 1f out - led inside final furlong - ran on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.052.1/100 rating
Roaring Ralph
6.80Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way52.1/100 rating
Roaring Ralph
6.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Roaring Ralph
Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 6yo
52.1/100
+3.3 vs next best (48.8)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight91very strongLast 6: 2-2-1-1-1-2
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 70 · RPR 83
- Trainer20% weight8weakMichael Dods: 1/35 winners last 14d (3%)
MarketBest price 6.80 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 8 | 6yo · G · bb | 221112 | 9-09 | 70 | 83 | — | 52.1 | 9/2 SP | |
| 5 | 2 | 4 | 6yo · G · gr | 57056 | 9-08 | 69 | 89 | 82 | 42.9 | 11/8F SP | |
| 6 | 3 | 7 | 4yo · G · bp | 064725 | 9-08 | 69 | 80 | 77 | 48.8 | 14/1 SP | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 6yo · G · chp | 673606 | 9-07 | 68 | 85 | 71 | 39.5 | 9/2 SP | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4yo · F · ch | 32438 | 9-06 | 67 | 78 | 52 | 34.9 | 80/1 SP | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 5yo · G · bp | 57926 | 9-03 | 64 | 81 | 68 | 44.2 | 6/1 SP | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 7yo · G · gr | 246585 | 9-03 | 64 | 84 | 46 | 39.1 | 11/1 SP | |
| 7 | 8 | 9 | 4yo · F · bp | 52907 | 9-01 | 62 | 83 | 68 | 33.9 | 40/1 SP | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 5yo · G · bt | 02344 | 8-12 | 59 | 83 | 75 | 44.0 | 16/1 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 4:12 Ayr?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Roaring Ralph, won the race (AI score 52.1).
What were the placings in the 4:12 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Roaring Ralph (GB) (5.50), 2. Novak (GB) (12.00), 3. Al Muqdad (GB) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 4:12 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 28.33s, 1.73s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyA chance is taken on 1m2f course winner ROYAL BLAZE on this drop back in trip. The in-form Roaring Ralph is a danger.
Racing Post pick: Royal Blaze
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook3/1 Roaring Ralph, 7/2 Al Muqdad, 4/1 Kelpie Grey, 11/2 Royal Blaze, 15/2 Valentine Catcher, Novak, 11/1 Mr Cool, 33/1 Elizabeth Bay, Maui Breeze
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org