Who won the 15:12 Ayr on 20 May 2026?
Military Girl (IRE) won the 15:12 Ayr at SP 3.25. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Michael Dods.
← All racecards15:12
Ayr
Great BritainAltos Tequila Handicap
Wednesday, 20 May 2026
5f·Flat·Class 5·Good To Firm·6 runners·£4,187
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stMilitary Girl (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods9/4·3.25SP
- 2ndThunderstorm Katie (GB)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths11/10F·2.10SP
- 3rdHenery Hawk (GB)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Linda Perratt·beaten 0.2 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
58.81s+1.91s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Military Girl (IRE))
“Prominent - ridden and led over 1f out - soon faced challenge - kept on final 110yds”
AI top-rated Donald (score 46.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.046.4/100 rating
Donald
7.60Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way46.4/100 rating
Donald
7.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Donald
William Pyle · David & Nicola Barron · 4yo
46.4/100
+1.0 vs next best (45.4)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 4-4-2-4
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 69 · RPR 76 · TS 70
- Trainer20% weight23weakDavid & Nicola Barron: 1/11 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 7.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 6 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 8 | 4yo · G · ch | 4424 | 9-09 | 69 | 76 | 70 | 46.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP | |
| 4 | 3 | 7 | 8yo · G · b | 40000 | 9-07 | 67 | 75 | 30 | 32.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 4yo · G · b | 46508 | 9-07 | 67 | 77 | 30 | 32.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 4yo · F · b | 55443 | 9-05 | 65 | 83 | 74 | 44.1 | 9/4·3.25 SP | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 7yo · G · b | 632361 | 9-00 | 60 | 77 | — | 45.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| 2 | 8 | 1 | 5yo · M · b | 68972 | 8-13 | 59 | 80 | 74 | 41.4 | 11/10F·2.10 SP | |
| — | — | 3 | 4yo · G · b | 78051 | 9-07 | 67 | 80 | 57 | 41.4 | — | |
| — | — | 4 | 8yo · G · b | 231465 | 9-06 | 66 | 78 | 53 | 45.0 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:12 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Donald) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 15:12 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Military Girl (IRE) (3.25), 2. Thunderstorm Katie (GB) (2.10), 3. Henery Hawk (GB) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:12 Ayr?
The winning time was 58.81s, 1.91s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyThis can go to THUNDERSTORM KATIE (nap). Jim Goldie's mare looked unfortunate when chasing home Classy Clarets at Hamilton on Friday.
Racing Post pick: Thunderstorm Katie
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook5/2 Thunderstorm Katie, 4/1 Military Girl, 5/1 Hi Lord, 6/1 Water Of Leith, 13/2 Donald, Henery Hawk, 10/1 Classy Al, 33/1 Jm Jhingree
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org