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20:10 Chepstow

David Lucas Best Prices Welsh Sport Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Battle Of Maldon (IRE)
    Saffie Osborne·Gordon Elliott
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hapiness (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.3 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Windbreaker (GB)AI top pick · 54.5
    Shane Foley·William Haggas·beaten 5 lengths
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
Race time
2m 7.58s+5.18s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Battle Of Maldon (IRE))

Held up in rear - ridden and headway on inner over 2f out - led inside final furlong - kept on well

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Windbreaker

Leonato and WINDBREAKER are suggested to fight this out.

Forecast 7/4 Windbreaker, 9/4 Leonato, 3/1 Hapiness, 4/1 Battle Of Maldon, 33/1 Easwrith Destiny, 150/1 Strong Man Tom

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Windbreaker

Shane Foley · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 54.5 · +5.6 clear of next best (48.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    William Haggas: 12/47 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    154d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    RPR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 5-3
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.21
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.76

Today: Windbreaker (draw 2) and Easwrith Destiny (draw 1) get the bias; Hapiness (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 4
3yo · G · bpFT P
548
44.8
9/2·5.50
SP
26
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5
3yo · F · b
24.5
3/1·4.00
SP
35
J: Shane Foley · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · C · b
53
54.5
EvensF·2.00
SP
44
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3
3yo · G · ch
93
48.9
6/1·7.00
SP
53
J: Sean Levey · T: David Menuisier · draw 1
3yo · G · b
9
31.9
25/1·26.00
SP
61
J: William Cox · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 6
4yo · G · b
15.0
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:10 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?

Battle Of Maldon (IRE) won the 20:10 Chepstow at SP 5.50. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Gordon Elliott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:10 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Windbreaker) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 20:10 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Battle Of Maldon (IRE) (5.50), 2. Hapiness (IRE) (4.00), 3. Windbreaker (GB) (2.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:10 Chepstow?

The winning time was 2m 7.58s, 5.18s slower than standard.

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