Who won the 20:40 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?
The Green Mile (IRE) won the 20:40 Chepstow at SP 12.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Neil Mulholland.
20:40 Chepstow
David Lucas, Wales Leading Independent Bookmaker Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £5,339 · Thursday, 21 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stThe Green Mile (IRE)David Probert·Neil Mulholland11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndRiver King (IRE)AI top pick · 56.2Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.3 lengths8/13F·1.62SP
- 3rdNaples (IRE)Clifford Lee·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 6 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
2m 10.14s+7.74s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (The Green Mile (IRE))
“Held up in rear - headway on outer over 2f out - ridden and challenging over 1f out - led final 110yds - kept on well”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: River King
The vote goes to RIVER KING, who's the sort to benefit from a gelding operation and enters handicaps from an interesting mark.
Forecast 10/11 River King, 4/1 Alcaraz, 6/1 Robbo, 8/1 Crystal Mariner, 9/1 The Green Mile, 12/1 Naples
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
River King
Sean Levey · Richard Hannon · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 56.2 · +5.5 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight80strongLast 6: 3-2-3-1
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 84 · RPR 95 · TS 80
- Freshness10% weight45below average339d since last run (long absence)
- Trainer20% weight35below averageRichard Hannon: 7/50 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.21
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.76
Today: Crystal Mariner (draw 2) and Alcaraz (draw 1) get the bias; Naples (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: David Probert · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 5 4yo · G · grhFT H | 3750 | 77 | 41.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 3231 | 84 | 56.2 | 8/13F·1.62 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 6 4yo · G · gr | 02105 | 79 | 47.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 2 6yo · G · cht | 02110 | 85 | 50.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Charles Bishop · T: George Baker · draw 1 7yo · G · b | 17228 | 85 | 44.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 00363 | 73 | 45.6 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:40 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (River King) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:40 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. The Green Mile (IRE) (12.00), 2. River King (IRE) (1.62), 3. Naples (IRE) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:40 Chepstow?
The winning time was 2m 10.14s, 7.74s slower than standard.
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