Who won the 18:05 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?
Betsen (GB) won the 18:05 Chepstow at SP 4.00. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by Tony Carroll.
18:05 Chepstow
Why Bet Elsewhere, David Lucas Bookmakers Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £5,339 · Thursday, 21 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stBetsen (GB)Clifford Lee·Tony Carroll3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndEl Bufalo (GB)Billy Loughnane·Thomas Faulkner·beaten .5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdSo Smart (IRE)Kieran O'Neill·Grace Harris·beaten 1.75 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
58.81s+2.21s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Betsen (GB))
“Took keen hold - held up in rear - headway 2f out - ridden and led 1f out - kept on well”
AI top-rated Em Four (score 57.7) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Marching Mac
A chance is taken that this return to turf can help MARCHING MAC rediscover his best.
Forecast 11/4 Em Four, 3/1 Betsen, 4/1 El Bufalo, 9/2 Marching Mac, 7/1 Lazzar, So Smart
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Em Four
Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.7 · +5.5 clear of next best (52.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 5-1-4-3-1-3
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 80 · RPR 91 · TS 83 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight28small sample (n=9)Jamie Osborne: 1/9 winners last 14d (11%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.00
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.90
High (5–6)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 434709 | 82 | 43.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 3 5yo · G · chtp | 11256 | 77 | 47.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Grace Harris · draw 2 7yo · G · btp | 27465 | 61 | 41.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 5 5yo · G · bt | 24940 | 80 | 39.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 4 4yo · G · ch | 514313 | 80 | 57.7 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 1 4yo · G · bbFT B | 261830 | 75 | 52.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:05 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Em Four) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 18:05 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Betsen (GB) (4.00), 2. El Bufalo (GB) (6.00), 3. So Smart (IRE) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:05 Chepstow?
The winning time was 58.81s, 2.21s slower than standard.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org