Who won the 17:30 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?
My A'Ali Baba (GB) won the 17:30 Chepstow at SP 15.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by David Evans.
17:30 Chepstow
LSL Racing Horse Sales Syndication Leasing Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (GBB/IRE Incentive)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 21 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stMy A'Ali Baba (GB)Saffie Osborne·David Evans14/1·15.00SP
- 2ndForest Berry (GB)AI top pick · 41.7Dylan Hogan·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 1 length8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdRomidijo (GB)Hector Crouch·Charlie Clover·beaten .75 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 12.83s+4.83s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (My A'Ali Baba (GB))
“Held up in rear - pushed along and ran green 3f out - switched left and headway over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final 110yds - readily”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Issy's Gift
Maybe the debutants can make an impact, with ISSY'S GIFT, Green Titan and Jazzy Bay preferred in that order.
Forecast 3/1 Green Titan, 4/1 Ariane Sky, 9/2 Issy's Gift, 6/1 Romidijo, 9/1 Benefacta, 11/1 Forest Berry, 12/1 My A'Ali Baba, Jazzy Bay, 16/1 Metamouse, 25/1 Alfey Moon, Marralyn, 50/1 Turtle Star
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Forest Berry
Dylan Hogan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 2yo
Top-rated of 12
score 41.7 · +1.0 clear of next best (40.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight43below averageRPR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight15weakLast 6: 7
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.00
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.90
High (10–13)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: David Evans · draw 11 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 15.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 7 | — | 41.7 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Charlie Clover · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 8 | — | 36.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 8 2yo · C · b | — | — | 15.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: David Probert · T: James Owen · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 5 | — | 40.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 6 2yo · G · b | — | — | 22.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 12 2yo · G · b | — | — | 25.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 5 | — | 34.2 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 7 2yo · C · b | — | — | 17.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: David Evans · draw 3 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 15.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 11 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 10 2yo · C · b | — | — | 21.5 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 12 | 13 | J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 0 | — | 33.7 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Kathy Turner · draw 13 2yo · F · b | 80 | — | 9.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Forest Berry) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 17:30 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. My A'Ali Baba (GB) (15.00), 2. Forest Berry (GB) (9.00), 3. Romidijo (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 12.83s, 4.83s slower than standard.
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