19:10 Chepstow

Treble Odds L15s At David Lucas Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Dapper Gee Gee (GB)
Gina Mangan·Tony Carroll
5/2F·3.50
SP
2nd
Too Much Trevor (GB)
Olivia Tubb·Grace Harris·beaten 0.3 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP
3rd
Connie's Rose (GB)
Kieran O'Neill·Grace Harris·beaten 0.2 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

1m 23.19s+3.59s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Dapper Gee Gee (GB))

“Prominent - ridden over 1f out - kept on well and led final strides”

AI top-rated Romanovich (score 59.2) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Romanovich

The suggestion is ROMANOVICH back at a track he runs so well, with Opening Bat second choice.

Forecast 2/1 Opening Bat, 11/2 Romanovich, 6/1 Dapper Gee Gee, 7/1 Wodao, 9/1 Terries Royale, 11/1 Margorie, 12/1 Connie's Rose, 14/1 Spirit Of The Bay, Cypriot Diaspora, Too Much Trevor, 25/1 Sixfiveseven, 33/1 Stoneywell

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Romanovich

David Probert · John O'Shea · 7yo

Top-rated of 11

score 59.2 · +9.5 clear of next best (49.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
John O'Shea: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
47below average
Last 6: 5-9-5-1-6-3
Ratings50% weight
46below average
OR 56 · RPR 85 · TS 68

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.06

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.95

High (9–12)

IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Dapper Gee Gee J: Gina Mangan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8 4yo · G · b	52104	9-06	66	81	44	49.7	5/2F·3.50 SP
2	12	Too Much Trevor J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 6 5yo · G · b	34465	8-04	50	77	73	41.6	9/1·10.00 SP
3	8	Connie's Rose J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Grace Harris · draw 2 7yo · M · btp	85656	9-03	63	82	48	40.1	11/1·12.00 SP
4	4	Spirit Of The Bay J: William Cox · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 7 8yo · M · bp	13759	9-06	66	81	69	42.5	22/1·23.00 SP
5	11	Romanovich J: David Probert · T: John O'Shea · draw 4 7yo · G · grb	595163	8-10	56	85	68	59.2	9/2·5.50 SP
6	1	Sixfiveseven J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 11 6yo · G · bb	21779	9-09	69	77	—	39.8	22/1·23.00 SP
7	7	Stoneywell J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 5 4yo · G · bh	73897	9-05	65	70	55	38.6	40/1·41.00 SP
8	6	Cypriot Diaspora J: Hector Crouch · T: Rod Millman · draw 10 5yo · M · b	00659	9-06	66	82	69	39.4	10/1·11.00 SP
9	10	Margorie J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3 4yo · F · bp	10067	9-00	60	80	49	41.9	16/1·17.00 SP
10	9	Terries Royale J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 6yo · G · b	66846	9-01	61	85	65	45.9	5/1·6.00 SP
11	3	Opening Bat J: Billy Loughnane · T: Harry Charlton · draw 9 4yo · G · ch	13338	9-07	67	80	63	46.5	5/1·6.00 SP
—	—	Wodao J: Clifford Lee · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 12 6yo · G · cht	64596	9-07	67	76	61	37.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:10 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?

Dapper Gee Gee (GB) won the 19:10 Chepstow at SP 3.50. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:10 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Romanovich) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 19:10 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Dapper Gee Gee (GB) (3.50), 2. Too Much Trevor (GB) (10.00), 3. Connie's Rose (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:10 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 23.19s, 3.59s slower than standard.

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