19:40 Chepstow

Get Raceday Ready With Lucas Bookies Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £3,454 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th

1st
Autumn Angel (IRE)
Clifford Lee·Tony Carroll
9/2·5.50
SP
2nd
Captain Cess (IRE)
Taryn Langley·Adrian Wintle·beaten 0.1 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP
3rd
Dancing With Drums (IRE)
Charles Bishop·Adam Kirby·beaten 2.5 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP

Race time

1m 11.27s+3.27s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Autumn Angel (IRE))

“Took keen hold - prominent - ridden 2f out - challenging 1f out - edged left final 110yds - kept on well and led towards finish”

AI top-rated Punchbowl Flyer (score 51.4) finished 7th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Dancing With Drums

This might be best left to DANCING WITH DRUMS, who looks a potential improver for Adam Kirby.

Forecast 3/1 Dancing With Drums, 7/2 Dragon God, 8/1 Dayman, 10/1 Son Of Astar, Macarone, 12/1 Snuggle, Punchbowl Flyer, Autumn Angel, Griselda, Anglesey Lad, 20/1 Captain Cess, 25/1 A Rose Adaay, Alyara

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Punchbowl Flyer

William Carson · John O'Shea · 9yo

Top-rated of 12

score 51.4 · +3.2 clear of next best (48.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
26d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
John O'Shea: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
42below average
Last 6: 4-2-4-4-3-8
Ratings50% weight
33weak
OR 59 · RPR 70 · TS 20

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.00

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.90

High (10–13)

IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	10	Autumn Angel J: Clifford Lee · T: Tony Carroll · draw 13 7yo · M · b	376337	8-11	48	70	—	46.1	9/2·5.50 SP
2	8	Captain Cess J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 9 4yo · G · b	33406	9-02	53	70	55	29.8	11/1·12.00 SP
3	3	Dancing With Drums J: Charles Bishop · T: Adam Kirby · draw 11 4yo · G · b	11571	9-08	59	73	—	48.2	9/2·5.50 SP
4	1	Snuggle J: Saffie Osborne · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 12 6yo · G · ch	7064	9-09	60	67	57	30.1	11/1·12.00 SP
5	9	A Rose Adaay J: Finley Marsh · T: Grace Harris · draw 6 4yo · F · b	06306	9-01	52	72	53	32.4	33/1·34.00 SP
6	4	Dragon God J: Billy Loughnane · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 4yo · C · b	58933	9-05	56	68	56	47.1	3/1F·4.00 SP
7	2	Punchbowl Flyer J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 5 9yo · G · bb	424438	9-08	59	70	20	51.4	100/30·4.33 SP
8	12	Griselda J: David Probert · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 8 4yo · F · btp	886427	8-09	46	71	28	40.3	18/1·19.00 SP
9	11	Alyara J: George Bass · T: Joe Ponting · draw 4 8yo · M · br	754376	8-09	46	67	36	29.7	50/1·51.00 SP
10	6	Macarone J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 10 5yo · G · btp	45094	9-05	56	69	—	39.6	16/1·17.00 SP
11	7	Dayman J: Hector Crouch · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 7 7yo · G · bbFT B	734276	9-04	55	72	—	38.6	20/1·21.00 SP
12	5	Son Of Astar J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3 4yo · G · b	53506	9-05	56	69	66	41.3	20/1·21.00 SP
—	—	Anglesey Lad J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2 5yo · G · br	42754	8-09	46	70	—	37.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:40 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?

Autumn Angel (IRE) won the 19:40 Chepstow at SP 5.50. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:40 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Punchbowl Flyer) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 19:40 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Autumn Angel (IRE) (5.50), 2. Captain Cess (IRE) (12.00), 3. Dancing With Drums (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:40 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 11.27s, 3.27s slower than standard.

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