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19:40

Chepstow

Great Britain

Get Raceday Ready With Lucas Bookies Handicap

Thursday, 21 May 2026

6f·Flat·Class 6·Good To Soft·12 runners·£3,454
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Autumn Angel (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·Tony Carroll
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Captain Cess (IRE)
    Taryn Langley·Adrian Wintle·beaten 0.1 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dancing With Drums (IRE)
    Charles Bishop·Adam Kirby·beaten 2.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 11.27s+3.27s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Autumn Angel (IRE))

Took keen hold - prominent - ridden 2f out - challenging 1f out - edged left final 110yds - kept on well and led towards finish

AI top-rated Punchbowl Flyer (score 51.4) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.051.4/100 rating
Punchbowl Flyer
5.20Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way51.4/100 rating
Punchbowl Flyer
5.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Punchbowl Flyer

William Carson · John O'Shea · 9yo

51.4/100
+3.2 vs next best (48.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    John O'Shea: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 4-2-4-4-3-8
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 59 · RPR 70 · TS 20
MarketBest price 5.20 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
4112
6yo · G · ch
7064
9-0960675730.1
11/1·12.00
SP
725
9yo · G · bb
424438
9-0859702051.4
100/30·4.33
SP
3311
4yo · G · b
11571
9-08597348.2
9/2·5.50
SP
641
4yo · C · b
58933
9-0556685647.1
3/1F·4.00
SP
1253
4yo · G · b
53506
9-0556696641.3
20/1·21.00
SP
10610
5yo · G · btp
45094
9-05566939.6
16/1·17.00
SP
1177
7yo · G · bbFT B
734276
9-04557238.6
20/1·21.00
SP
289
4yo · G · b
33406
9-0253705529.8
11/1·12.00
SP
596
4yo · F · b
06306
9-0152725332.4
33/1·34.00
SP
11013
7yo · M · b
376337
8-11487046.1
9/2·5.50
SP
9114
8yo · M · br
754376
8-0946673629.7
50/1·51.00
SP
8128
4yo · F · btp
886427
8-0946712840.3
18/1·19.00
SP
2
5yo · G · br
42754
8-09467037.2

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:40 Chepstow on 21 May 2026?

Autumn Angel (IRE) won the 19:40 Chepstow at SP 5.50. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:40 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Punchbowl Flyer) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 19:40 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Autumn Angel (IRE) (5.50), 2. Captain Cess (IRE) (12.00), 3. Dancing With Drums (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:40 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 11.27s, 3.27s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

This might be best left to DANCING WITH DRUMS, who looks a potential improver for Adam Kirby.

Racing Post pick: Dancing With Drums

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

3/1 Dancing With Drums, 7/2 Dragon God, 8/1 Dayman, 10/1 Son Of Astar, Macarone, 12/1 Snuggle, Punchbowl Flyer, Autumn Angel, Griselda, Anglesey Lad, 20/1 Captain Cess, 25/1 A Rose Adaay, Alyara

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org