Who won the 16:25 Musselburgh on 21 May 2026?
Bellarchi (IRE) won the 16:25 Musselburgh at SP 3.00. Ridden by Oliver Stammers. Trained by Grant Tuer.
16:25 Musselburgh
Never Standing Still Handicap
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 8 runners · £10,308 · Thursday, 21 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stBellarchi (IRE)Oliver Stammers·Grant Tuer2/1F·3.00SP
- 2ndDiamondonthehill (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole·beaten 4.25 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdWild Nature (GB)Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell·beaten 4.75 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
1m 27.58s+2.68s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Bellarchi (IRE))
“Towards rear on inner - headway and switched left over 2f out - ridden to lead 1f out - kept on well final 110yds - won going away”
AI top-rated Kosometsuke (score 55.6) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bellarchi
A wide draw did her no favours at Chester but BELLARCHI (nap) still looked in good form and she can bounce back to winning ways.
Forecast 7/2 Wild Nature, 4/1 Bellarchi, 5/1 Kosometsuke, Benacre, 6/1 Persuasion, 10/1 Diamondonthehill, 12/1 Percy's Lad, 16/1 Misunderstood, Gweedore, 20/1 Jannas Journey
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Kosometsuke
Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 4yo
Top-rated of 8
score 55.6 · +0.6 clear of next best (55.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 6-1-4-1-5
- Ratings50% weight59averageOR 82 · RPR 101 · TS 83
- Trainer20% weight20weakMichael Dods: 3/40 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.85
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.97
High (8–10)
IV 1.20
Today: Persuasion (draw 10) and Jannas Journey (draw 9) get the bias; Kosometsuke (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1 5yo · M · ch | 88119 | 91 | 55.0 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 3 8yo · G · b | 233248 | 81 | 48.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 8991 | 88 | 45.1 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: William Pyle · T: Katie Scott · draw 8 9yo · G · bp | 78170 | 88 | 42.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 216035 | 79 | 53.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 6 8yo · G · ch | 00400 | 87 | 41.7 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 90965 | 88 | 45.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 61415 | 82 | 55.6 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 10 9yo · G · b | 07616 | 86 | 48.7 | — |
| — | — | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 5yo · M · b | 90978 | 79 | 43.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Kosometsuke) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 16:25 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Bellarchi (IRE) (3.00), 2. Diamondonthehill (GB) (12.00), 3. Wild Nature (GB) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:25 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 27.58s, 2.68s slower than standard.
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