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Next · 22m19:00Wolverhampton (AW)

Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap

1m4½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/2·3.50
  1. 1st
    Alpine Sierra (IRE)AI top pick · 54.5
    Lauren Young·Jim Goldie
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Spirit Catcher (IRE)
    Aiden Brookes·Philip Kirby·beaten 1.75 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Star Cast (GB)
    Rowan Scott·Gemma Tutty·beaten 0.3 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
2m 44.57s+6.77s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Alpine Sierra (IRE))

Made all - going easily 3f out - pushed along 2f out - ridden briefly inside final furlong - unchallenged

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Spirit Catcher

It is a 3f longer trip but SPIRIT CATCHER is weighted to finish in front of old rival Alpine Sierra once again

Forecast 5/2 Star Cast, 9/4 Alpine Sierra, 3/1 Spirit Catcher, 6/1 Just Dottie, 8/1 Cougar, 20/1 Spit Spot

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Alpine Sierra

Lauren Young(5) · Jim Goldie · 8yo

Top-rated of 6
score 54.5 · +1.4 clear of next best (53.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 8-2-2-2-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 58 · RPR 81 · TS 74
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Jim Goldie: 4/38 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m4½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.17
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.64
High (5–6)
IV 1.13

Today: Star Cast (draw 2) and Cougar (draw 1) get the bias; Alpine Sierra (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
8yo · G · br
822231
5854.5
5/2·3.50
SP
23
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby · draw 5
7yo · G · ch
80012
6440.6
2/1F·3.00
SP
32
J: Rowan Scott · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 2
4yo · F · b
716311
7053.2
3/1·4.00
SP
46
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 6
8yo · M · b/br
5413
5839.4
5/1·6.00
SP
54
J: Mohammed Tabti(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1
7yo · G · b/brb
81107
6037.2
12/1·13.00
SP
61
7yo · M · chtpFirst after wind op
40662
7036.5
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Musselburgh on 21 May 2026?

Alpine Sierra (IRE) won the 17:00 Musselburgh at SP 3.50. Ridden by Lauren Young. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Musselburgh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Alpine Sierra, won the race (AI score 54.5).

What were the placings in the 17:00 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Alpine Sierra (IRE) (3.50), 2. Spirit Catcher (IRE) (3.00), 3. Star Cast (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 2m 44.57s, 6.77s slower than standard.

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