16:03 Haydock

No Sport Without A Surface Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 6 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Persian Land (IRE)
P J McDonald·David Evans
14/1·15.00
SP
2nd
Charted Course (GB)
Shane Gray·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 2.25 lengths
2/1F·3.00
SP
3rd
Keep Kicking On (IRE)AI top pick · 35.8
Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox·beaten 2 lengths
85/40·3.12
SP

Race time

1m 20.21s+9.91s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Persian Land (IRE))

“In rear - outpaced halfway - headway and plenty to do over 1f out - ridden and led inside final 110yds - kept on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.12 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Charted Course

450,000gns breeze-up buy CHARTED COURSE is taken to make a winning start to his career. Regal Tiger could be the chief threat.

Forecast 10/11 Charted Course, 7/2 Walt, 4/1 Regal Tiger, 8/1 Keep Kicking On, 20/1 Le Ciel Noble, 25/1 Persian Land

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Keep Kicking On

Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 35.8 · +11.3 clear of next best (24.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
12d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
58average
Clive Cox: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
Ratings50% weight
31weak
RPR 58 · TS 34 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
10weak
Last 6: 8

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Haydock 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.22

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.71

High (5–6)

IV 1.02

Today: Keep Kicking On (draw 2) and Charted Course (draw 1) get the bias; Regal Tiger (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Persian Land J: P J McDonald · T: David Evans · draw 6 2yo · G · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	14/1·15.00 SP
2	1	Charted Course J: Shane Gray · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	23.5	2/1F·3.00 SP
3	2	Keep Kicking On J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 2 2yo · C · ch	8	9-07	—	58	34	35.8	85/40·3.12 SP
4	5	Regal Tiger J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	24.5	3/1·4.00 SP
5	6	Walt J: David Egan · T: David Loughnane · draw 4 2yo · C · ch	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	13/2·7.50 SP
6	3	Le Ciel Noble J: Joe Leavy · T: David Evans · draw 5 2yo · G · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	40/1·41.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:03 Haydock on 21 May 2026?

Persian Land (IRE) won the 16:03 Haydock at SP 15.00. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by David Evans.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:03 Haydock?

No — the AI top pick (Keep Kicking On) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:03 Haydock?

Top finishers: 1. Persian Land (IRE) (15.00), 2. Charted Course (GB) (3.00), 3. Keep Kicking On (IRE) (3.12).

What was the winning time for the 16:03 Haydock?

The winning time was 1m 20.21s, 9.91s slower than standard.

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