16:38

Haydock

Great Britain

Early Bird Handicap

Thursday, 21 May 2026

6f·Flat·Class 5·Soft·11 runners·£4,449

DrawStrong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22)· 114 races · full map →

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
There's A Chance (IRE)
Shane Gray·Kevin Ryan
100/30F·4.33
SP
2nd
Woolisle (GB)
Cieren Fallon·Heather Main·beaten 1 length
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
From The Hip (GB)
Tyler Heard·Mark Usher·beaten 4.25 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP

Race time

1m 18.52s+8.22s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (There's A Chance (IRE))

“Dwelt start - raced centre - towards rear - headway over 1f out - led inside final furlong - clear with one other inside final 110yds - pushed out”

AI top-rated Showtown (score 51.6) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.051.6/100 rating

Showtown

7.80Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1

No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way51.6/100 rating

Showtown

7.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Showtown

Kevin Stott · Kevin Ryan · 3yo

51.6/100

+0.1 vs next best (51.4)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
50below average
OR 73 · RPR 81 · TS 70
Form20% weight
48below average
Last 6: 2-2-3-2-0
Trainer20% weight
35below average
Kevin Ryan: 5/35 winners last 14d (14%)

MarketBest price 7.80 (Betfair Exchange) — 4th pick of 11 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos	#	Dr	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
8	1	4	Stoneacre Joe 3yo · G · b	Ryan Sexton Tim Easterby	922	9-09	75	82	61	51.4	11/2·6.50 SP
9	2	8	Angels' Share 3yo · F · b	Rossa Ryan William Knight	21108	9-09	75	80	61	48.9	10/1·11.00 SP
1	3	13	There's A Chance 3yo · F · b	Shane Gray Kevin Ryan	41873	9-09	75	78	69	50.1	100/30F·4.33 SP
2	4	11	Woolisle 3yo · F · b	Cieren Fallon Heather Main	43621	9-07	73	79	67	42.7	7/1·8.00 SP
3	5	1	From The Hip 3yo · C · b	Tyler Heard Mark Usher	33811	9-07	73	79	73	44.3	16/1·17.00 SP
4	6	3	Showtown 3yo · G · bp	Kevin Stott Kevin Ryan	22320	9-07	73	81	70	51.6	6/1·7.00 SP
11	7	5	Magistery 3yo · F · b	Kaiya Fraser Michael Dods	26150	9-06	72	75	59	38.6	33/1·34.00 SP
7	8	6	Hvar 3yo · G · gr	Jason Hart John & Sean Quinn	54100	9-06	72	76	35	40.4	33/1·34.00 SP
5	9	2	Daizen 3yo · G · gr	Harry Burns(3) Rebecca Menzies	22150	9-06	72	80	51	42.8	7/2·4.50 SP
6	10	7	Guernsey Angel 3yo · F · br	Joe Leavy David Evans	16456	9-05	71	77	64	40.2	12/1·13.00 SP
10	12	12	Harlequin Bay 3yo · C · b	Jack Garritty Richard & Peter Fahey	5223	9-04	70	79	53	50.6	16/1·17.00 SP
—	—	10	Obsidian Verse 3yo · G · b	NON-RUNNER James Fanshawe	84581	9-03	69	82	—	51.4	—
—	—	9	Explosive Finnish 3yo · G · ch	NON-RUNNER Kevin Frost	54333	9-05	71	—	—	44.9	—

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:38 Haydock on 21 May 2026?

There's A Chance (IRE) won the 16:38 Haydock at SP 4.33. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Kevin Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:38 Haydock?

No — the AI top pick (Showtown) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:38 Haydock?

Top finishers: 1. There's A Chance (IRE) (4.33), 2. Woolisle (GB) (8.00), 3. From The Hip (GB) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:38 Haydock?

The winning time was 1m 18.52s, 8.22s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Handicap newcomer STONEACRE JOE (nap) has been a promising second on his last two starts and earns the vote ahead of Harlequin Bay.

Racing Post pick: Stoneacre Joe

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

3/1 Woolisle, 9/2 Stoneacre Joe, 5/1 From The Hip, 7/1 Showtown, 15/2 There's A Chance, 10/1 Daizen, 11/1 Angels' Share, 12/1 Guernsey Angel, 14/1 Harlequin Bay, 16/1 Magistery, 33/1 Hvar

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org