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RacingAlpha

16:05 Haydock

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

2m · Flat · Class 2 · Abandoned · 16 runners · £23,193 · Saturday, 23 May 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: HermeticDiffers from our pick

Prydwen has a good chance if the ground is not worse than good to soft but ex-French HERMETIC could be too hot for him to handle.

Forecast 3/1 Pole Star, 5/1 Prydwen, Hermetic, Humble Spark, 8/1 Blazeon Five, Venezuelan, 12/1 Almuhit, 20/1 Premiere Ligne, 25/1 Tashkhan, 33/1 Yashin, Ouro Preto

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Prydwen

Oisin Murphy · George Scott · 8yo

Top-rated of 11
score 65.7 · +7.1 clear of next best (58.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    George Scott: 5/15 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 103 · RPR 109 · TS 69
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 6-8-2-1-5
MarketBest price 7.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Haydock 2m

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.16
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.94
High (9–12)
IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Oisin Murphy · T: George Scott · draw 3
8yo · G · b
68215
10365.713/2·7.667.8·7.80
Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 12
6yo · G · bp
554422
7858.65/1·5.895.4·5.40
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 7
4yo · G · gr
51144
8156.19/2·5.305.1·5.10
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 8
8yo · M · b
11162
9254.917/2·9.4210·10.00
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4
4yo · G · bv
65043
8954.67/2·4.424.2·4.20
Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Sam Hitchcott · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 10
4yo · G · bp
34122
8252.833/1·34.1644·44.00
Betfair Exchange · +29% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Sean Levey · T: Faye Bramley · draw 11
7yo · G · btp
12396
8549.216/1·17.6717.5·17.50
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Tyler Heard · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 2
7yo · G · bt
22220
8247.250/1·48.2950/1·51.00
PricedUp Bet · +6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Ross Coakley · T: Michael Bell · draw 6
7yo · G · bhtbFT HTB
76060
9945.666/1·60.0766/1·67.00
William Hill · +12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5
5yo · G · b
66107
7944.4100/1·95.41100/1·101.00
PricedUp Bet · +6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1
8yo · G · b
66070
9841.222/1·22.3820/1·21.00
PricedUp Bet · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
Zinc WhiteNon-runner
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 9
8yo · G · gr
0530
83Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org