Who won the 15:53 Bath on 22 May 2026?
Toolatetonegotiate (GB) won the 15:53 Bath at SP 6.50. Ridden by Millie Wonnacott. Trained by Daisy Hitchins.
15:53 Bath
Prix De Charlotte Fillies' Handicap
5½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,339 · Friday, 22 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stToolatetonegotiate (GB)Millie Wonnacott·Daisy Hitchins11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndSilver Wraith (GB)AI top pick · 68.2David Probert·Emma Lavelle·beaten 2.25 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
- 3rdQueue Dos (GB)Taylor Fisher·J S Moore·beaten .75 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 9.29s+1.69s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Toolatetonegotiate (GB))
“Held up in rear - switched to centre and headway over 1f out - led inside final 110yds - won going away”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Silver Wraith
Preference is for SILVER WRAITH, who made it 2-2 at Bath when beating Moe's Legacy here on her reappearance three weeks ago.
Forecast 15/8 Moe's Legacy, 9/4 Toolatetonegotiate, 11/4 Silver Wraith, 8/1 Cuban Lady, 14/1 Queue Dos, 16/1 Seraphim Angel
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Silver Wraith
David Probert · Emma Lavelle · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 68.2 · +17.8 clear of next best (50.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 4-3-2-1-1
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Emma Lavelle: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 76 · RPR 92 · TS 87 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 5½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.12
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–6)
IV 0.81
Today: Silver Wraith (draw 2) and Cuban Lady (draw 1) get the bias; Moe's Legacy (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 4 4yo · F · grp | 133432 | 75 | 50.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: David Probert · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 2 4yo · F · grt | 43211 | 76 | 68.2 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 5 4yo · F · bb | 34147 | 78 | 44.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Luke Morris · T: Tom Clover · draw 1 4yo · F · br | 52368 | 75 | 50.4 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Jason Watson · T: Ronald Harris · draw 6 5yo · M · grv | 13742 | 75 | 49.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3 4yo · F · br | 04107 | 79 | 49.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:53 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Silver Wraith) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:53 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Toolatetonegotiate (GB) (6.50), 2. Silver Wraith (GB) (2.62), 3. Queue Dos (GB) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:53 Bath?
The winning time was 1m 9.29s, 1.69s slower than standard.
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